Senate · D primary
Crockett +18Texas · Senate
Jasmine Crockett 55% · James Talarico 37% · Ahmad Hassan 4%
- Field dates
- Feb 13–Feb 22, 2026
- Sample
- 959 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Pollster file
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion Research
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 5
- Mean absolute error
- 4.65percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+0.41
- Represented cycles
- 32018–2022
- Current archive
- 12canonical records
- History span
- Oct 22, 2018through Oct 21, 2022
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- University of Texas at Tyler · UT Tyler
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2018 · 2020 · 2022
5 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
12 shown · 12 total
Senate · D primary
Crockett +22Texas · Senate
Jasmine Crockett 56% · James Talarico 34% · Ahmad Hassan 7%
- Field dates
- Feb 13–Feb 22, 2026
- Sample
- 1,117 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Senate
Cornyn +6Texas · Senate
John Cornyn 41% · James Talarico 35%
- Field dates
- Sep 17–Sep 24, 2025
- Sample
- 1,032 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Senate · D primary
Allred +12Texas · Senate
Colin Allred 42% · James Talarico 30%
- Field dates
- Sep 17–Sep 24, 2025
- Sample
- 377 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Abbott +8Texas · Governor
Don't know 10% · Gina Hinojosa 41% · Greg Abbott 49%
- Field dates
- Feb 13–Feb 22, 2026
- Sample
- 1,117 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Abbott +12Texas · Governor
Don't know 11% · Chris Bell 39% · Greg Abbott 51%
- Field dates
- Feb 13–Feb 22, 2026
- Sample
- 1,117 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Paxton +1Texas · Senate
Don't know 16% · Someone else 8% · James Talarico 37% · Ken Paxton 38%
- Field dates
- Sep 17–Sep 24, 2025
- Sample
- 1,032 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Talarico +1Texas · Senate
Don't know 21% · Someone else 6% · James Talarico 37% · Wesley Hunt 36%
- Field dates
- Sep 17–Sep 24, 2025
- Sample
- 1,032 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Cornyn +6Texas · Senate
Don't know 14% · Someone else 7% · John Cornyn 43% · Colin Allred 37%
- Field dates
- Sep 17–Sep 24, 2025
- Sample
- 1,032 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Hunt +1Texas · Senate
Don't know 20% · Someone else 6% · Colin Allred 37% · Wesley Hunt 38%
- Field dates
- Sep 17–Sep 24, 2025
- Sample
- 1,032 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Allred +3Texas · Senate
Don't know 14% · Someone else 8% · Ken Paxton 38% · Colin Allred 41%
- Field dates
- Sep 17–Sep 24, 2025
- Sample
- 1,031 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Cornyn +6Texas · Senate
Don't know 18% · Someone else 7% · James Talarico 35% · John Cornyn 41%
- Field dates
- Sep 17–Sep 24, 2025
- Sample
- 1,031 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
5 shown · 5 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | TX · Governor | Gov-G | 2022-10-21 | 973 | R+6.0 | R+10.9 | D+4.9 |
| 2020 | TX · Senate | Sen-G | 2020-10-17 | 925 | R+8.0 | R+9.6 | D+1.6 |
| 2020 | TX · President | Pres-G | 2020-10-17 | 925 | D+3.0 | R+5.6 | D+8.6 |
| 2018 | TX · Senate | Sen-G | 2018-10-22 | 905 | R+3.6 | R+2.6 | R+1.0 |
| 2018 | TX · Governor | Gov-G | 2018-10-22 | 1,033 | R+20.4 | R+13.3 | R+7.1 |
3 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.