Primary · D primary
Foulkes +16Rhode Island · Governor
Helena Foulkes 29% · Dan McKee 11% · Joe Shekarchi 13%
- Field dates
- Nov 17, 2025
- Sample
- 364 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Pollster file
University of New Hampshire Survey Center
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 116
- Mean absolute error
- 5.93percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+2.31
- Represented cycles
- 132000–2022
- Current archive
- 156canonical records
- History span
- Nov 3, 2000through Nov 4, 2022
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- University of New Hampshire
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2000 · 2002 · 2004 · 2006 · 2008 · 2010 · 2012 · 2013 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022
116 eligible historical polls across 13 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
12 shown · 156 total
Race
LePage +5HOU-ME-02
Don't know 3% · Someone else 3% · Jared Golden 44% · Paul LePage 49%
- Field dates
- Oct 16–Oct 21, 2025
- Sample
- 521 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · D primary
Shaheen +21HOU-NH-01
Carleigh Beriont 2% · Sarah Chadzynski 2% · Heath Howard 4% · Stefany Shaheen 29% · Maura Sullivan 8% · Christian Urrutia 4%
- Field dates
- Sep 23, 2025
- Sample
- 236 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Don't know 8% · Someone else 2% · Scott Brown 37% · Chris Pappas 52%
- Field dates
- Sep 17–Sep 23, 2025
- Sample
- 1,213 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · D primary
Pappas +51New Hampshire · Senate
Karishma Manzur 14% · Chris Pappas 65%
- Field dates
- Sep 23, 2025
- Sample
- 508 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
Goodlander +12HOU-NH-02
Don't know 8% · Someone else 2% · Lily Tang Williams 39% · Maggie Goodlander 51%
- Field dates
- Sep 17–Sep 23, 2025
- Sample
- 508 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · R primary
Sununu +23New Hampshire · Senate
Scott Brown 19% · Dan Innis 7% · John E. Sununu 42%
- Field dates
- Sep 23, 2025
- Sample
- 555 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · R primary
Shortsleeve +9Massachusetts · Governor
Mike Kennealy 22% · Brian Shortsleeve 31%
- Field dates
- Sep 23, 2025
- Sample
- 148 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · D primary
Foulkes +16Rhode Island · Governor
Helena Foulkes 35% · Dan McKee 19%
- Field dates
- Sep 23, 2025
- Sample
- 275 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Don't know 6% · Someone else 1% · Chris Sununu 43% · Chris Pappas 49%
- Field dates
- Sep 17–Sep 23, 2025
- Sample
- 1,225 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · R primary
Noveletsky +5HOU-NH-01
Melissa Bailey 0% · Brian Cole 5% · Holly Noveletsky 10%
- Field dates
- Sep 23, 2025
- Sample
- 256 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Race
LePage +3HOU-ME-02
Don't know 2% · Someone else 2% · Jared Golden 47% · Paul LePage 50%
- Field dates
- Jun 19–Jun 23, 2025
- Sample
- 394 A
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
16 shown · 116 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | 2004_Gov-G_NH | Gov-G | 2004-10-30 | 957 | R+1.0 | D+2.1 | R+3.1 |
| 2004 | 2004_Sen-G_NH | Sen-G | 2004-10-26 | 758 | R+39.0 | R+32.5 | R+6.5 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_NH | Pres-G | 2004-10-26 | 758 | D+4.0 | D+1.4 | D+2.6 |
| 2004 | 2004_House-G_NH-2 | House-G | 2004-10-26 | 346 | R+27.0 | R+20.1 | R+6.9 |
| 2004 | 2004_House-G_NH-1 | House-G | 2004-10-26 | 383 | R+34.0 | R+26.8 | R+7.2 |
| 2004 | 2004_Gov-G_NH | Gov-G | 2004-10-26 | 758 | R+3.0 | D+2.1 | R+5.2 |
| 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_NH | Sen-G | 2002-11-01 | 644 | R+1.0 | R+4.4 | D+3.4 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_NH-2 | House-G | 2002-11-01 | 335 | R+30.0 | R+16.0 | R+14.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_NH-1 | House-G | 2002-11-01 | 305 | R+6.0 | R+19.6 | D+13.6 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_NH | Gov-G | 2002-11-01 | 642 | R+14.0 | R+20.4 | D+6.5 |
| 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_NH | Sen-G | 2002-10-26 | 648 | D+4.0 | R+4.4 | D+8.4 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_NH-2 | House-G | 2002-10-26 | 309 | R+6.0 | R+16.0 | D+10.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_NH-1 | House-G | 2002-10-26 | 316 | R+18.0 | R+19.6 | D+1.6 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_NH | Gov-G | 2002-10-26 | 651 | R+12.0 | R+20.4 | D+8.4 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_NH | Pres-G | 2000-11-03 | 801 | R+6.0 | R+1.3 | R+4.7 |
| 2000 | 2000_Gov-G_NH | Gov-G | 2000-11-03 | 801 | D+6.0 | D+5.0 | D+1.0 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.