Don't know 10% · Someone else 2% · Jon Kiper 39% · Kelly Ayotte 50%
- Field dates
- Jan 15–Jan 19, 2026
- Sample
- 2,031 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Pollster file
University of New Hampshire Survey Center
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 116
- Mean absolute error
- 5.93percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+2.31
- Represented cycles
- 132000–2022
- Current archive
- 156canonical records
- History span
- Nov 3, 2000through Nov 4, 2022
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- University of New Hampshire
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2000 · 2002 · 2004 · 2006 · 2008 · 2010 · 2012 · 2013 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022
116 eligible historical polls across 13 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
12 shown · 156 total
Primary · D primary
Pappas +54New Hampshire · Senate
Karishma Manzur 11% · Chris Pappas 65% · Jared Sullivan 2%
- Field dates
- Jan 19, 2026
- Sample
- 893 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · R primary
Sununu +23New Hampshire · Senate
Scott Brown 25% · John E. Sununu 48%
- Field dates
- Jan 19, 2026
- Sample
- 967 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Don't know 5% · Someone else 1% · Scott Brown 42% · Chris Pappas 52%
- Field dates
- Jan 15–Jan 19, 2026
- Sample
- 2,017 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Don't know 5% · Someone else 1% · John Sununu 45% · Chris Pappas 50%
- Field dates
- Jan 15–Jan 19, 2026
- Sample
- 2,038 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · D primary
Goodlander +54HOU-NH-02
Maggie Goodlander 66% · Paige Beauchemin 12%
- Field dates
- Jan 19, 2026
- Sample
- 893 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · R primary
Noveletsky +5HOU-NH-01
Melissa Bailey 4% · Brian Cole 4% · Anthony DiLorenzo 10% · Elizabeth Girard 2% · Holly Noveletsky 15%
- Field dates
- Jan 19, 2026
- Sample
- 967 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · D primary
Shaheen +23HOU-NH-01
Carleigh Beriont 3% · Sarah Chadzynski 3% · Heath Howard 10% · Stefany Shaheen 33% · Maura Sullivan 8% · Christian Urrutia 3%
- Field dates
- Jan 19, 2026
- Sample
- 893 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · R primary
Sununu +13New Hampshire · Senate
Scott Brown 27% · John E. Sununu 40%
- Field dates
- Nov 17, 2025
- Sample
- 593 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · D primary
Pappas +49New Hampshire · Senate
Karishma Manzur 8% · Chris Pappas 57% · Jared Sullivan 5%
- Field dates
- Nov 17, 2025
- Sample
- 521 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · D primary
Markey +9Massachusetts · Senate
Ed Markey 34% · Seth Moulton 25% · Alexander Rikleen 2%
- Field dates
- Nov 17, 2025
- Sample
- 343 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Primary · D primary
Lamont +48Connecticut · Governor
Ned Lamont 55% · Josh Elliott 7%
- Field dates
- Nov 17, 2025
- Sample
- 235 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
16 shown · 116 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | 2004_Gov-G_NH | Gov-G | 2004-10-30 | 957 | R+1.0 | D+2.1 | R+3.1 |
| 2004 | 2004_Sen-G_NH | Sen-G | 2004-10-26 | 758 | R+39.0 | R+32.5 | R+6.5 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_NH | Pres-G | 2004-10-26 | 758 | D+4.0 | D+1.4 | D+2.6 |
| 2004 | 2004_House-G_NH-2 | House-G | 2004-10-26 | 346 | R+27.0 | R+20.1 | R+6.9 |
| 2004 | 2004_House-G_NH-1 | House-G | 2004-10-26 | 383 | R+34.0 | R+26.8 | R+7.2 |
| 2004 | 2004_Gov-G_NH | Gov-G | 2004-10-26 | 758 | R+3.0 | D+2.1 | R+5.2 |
| 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_NH | Sen-G | 2002-11-01 | 644 | R+1.0 | R+4.4 | D+3.4 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_NH-2 | House-G | 2002-11-01 | 335 | R+30.0 | R+16.0 | R+14.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_NH-1 | House-G | 2002-11-01 | 305 | R+6.0 | R+19.6 | D+13.6 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_NH | Gov-G | 2002-11-01 | 642 | R+14.0 | R+20.4 | D+6.5 |
| 2002 | 2002_Sen-G_NH | Sen-G | 2002-10-26 | 648 | D+4.0 | R+4.4 | D+8.4 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_NH-2 | House-G | 2002-10-26 | 309 | R+6.0 | R+16.0 | D+10.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_NH-1 | House-G | 2002-10-26 | 316 | R+18.0 | R+19.6 | D+1.6 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_NH | Gov-G | 2002-10-26 | 651 | R+12.0 | R+20.4 | D+8.4 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_NH | Pres-G | 2000-11-03 | 801 | R+6.0 | R+1.3 | R+4.7 |
| 2000 | 2000_Gov-G_NH | Gov-G | 2000-11-03 | 801 | D+6.0 | D+5.0 | D+1.0 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.