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Pollster file

TIPP Insights

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
45
Mean absolute error
2.24percentage points
Historical bias
R+0.17
Represented cycles
82000–2024
Current archive
91canonical records
History span
Oct 21, 2000through Nov 4, 2024
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
I&I/TIPP · TIPP · TIPP Insights (R)
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2000 · 2004 · 2008 · 2012 · 2016 · 2018 · 2020 · 2024

45 eligible historical polls across 8 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 91 total

El-Sayed +1.3

Don't know 8.67% · Someone else 5.77% · Mike Rogers 42.14% · Abdul El-Sayed 43.43%

Field dates
May 20–May 23, 2026
Sample
1,163 LV
Sponsor / client
League of American Workers
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
Stevens +6.6

Don't know 10.45% · Someone else 6.21% · Mike Rogers 38.38% · Haley Stevens 44.96%

Field dates
May 20–May 23, 2026
Sample
1,456 RV
Sponsor / client
League of American Workers
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
Benson +10.6

Don't know 11.37% · Someone else 7.82% · John James 35.11% · Jocelyn Benson 45.71%

Field dates
May 20–May 23, 2026
Sample
1,456 RV
Sponsor / client
League of American Workers
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
Benson +10.9

Don't know 7.04% · Someone else 6% · John James 38.03% · Jocelyn Benson 48.93%

Field dates
May 20–May 23, 2026
Sample
1,163 LV
Sponsor / client
League of American Workers
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
McMorrow +3.7

Don't know 12.81% · Someone else 6.36% · Mike Rogers 38.57% · Mallory McMorrow 42.26%

Field dates
May 20–May 23, 2026
Sample
1,456 RV
Sponsor / client
League of American Workers
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
Stevens +6.9

Don't know 6.39% · Someone else 4.78% · Mike Rogers 40.99% · Haley Stevens 47.84%

Field dates
May 20–May 23, 2026
Sample
1,163 LV
Sponsor / client
League of American Workers
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
El-Sayed +0.1

Don't know 13.3% · Someone else 7.29% · Mike Rogers 39.65% · Abdul El-Sayed 39.77%

Field dates
May 20–May 23, 2026
Sample
1,456 RV
Sponsor / client
League of American Workers
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
Primary · R primary

WI-07 · House

Alfonso +14

Michael Alfonso 35% · Jessi Ebben 5% · Kevin Hermening 21% · Niina Baum 5%

Field dates
May 1, 2026
Sample
301 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
Hobbs +10.1

Don't know 18.22% · Someone else 2.44% · Katie Hobbs 44.7% · Andy Biggs 34.64%

Field dates
Apr 20–Apr 24, 2026
Sample
1,501 RV
Sponsor / client
League of American Workers
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
Hobbs +10.8

Don't know 12.29% · Someone else 1.76% · Katie Hobbs 48.38% · Andy Biggs 37.57%

Field dates
Apr 20–Apr 24, 2026
Sample
1,159 LV
Sponsor / client
League of American Workers
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
Tiffany +2.4

Don't know 11.52% · Someone else 5.52% · Francesca Hong 40.28% · Tom Tiffany 42.69%

Field dates
Mar 13–Mar 19, 2026
Sample
1,168 LV
Sponsor / client
League of American Workers
Partisan sponsorship
Republican-sponsored
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

45 shown · 45 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-11-04—R+0.3R+1.5D+1.2
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-11-03—R+0.3R+1.5D+1.2
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-11-02—R+1.0R+1.5D+0.5
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-31—R+0.7R+1.5D+0.8
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-30—0R+1.5D+1.5
2024WI · PresidentPres-G2024-10-30—D+2.0R+0.9D+2.9
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-29—D+1.0R+1.5D+2.5
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-28—D+1.0R+1.5D+2.5
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-25—0R+1.5D+1.5
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-24—D+2.0R+1.5D+3.5
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-23—D+3.0R+1.5D+4.5
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-22—D+2.0R+1.5D+3.5
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-21—0R+1.5D+1.5
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-20—R+1.0R+1.5D+0.5
2024GA · PresidentPres-G2024-10-16—D+3.0R+2.2D+5.2
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-15—D+4.0R+1.5D+5.5
20202020_Pres-G_USPres-G2020-10-311,212D+4.4D+4.5R+0.1
20202020_Pres-G_USPres-G2020-10-26945D+5.1D+4.5D+0.6
20202020_Pres-G_USPres-G2020-10-211,029D+6.0D+4.5D+1.5
20202020_Pres-G_USPres-G2020-10-16949D+5.7D+4.5D+1.2
20182018_House-G_USHouse-G2018-10-30798D+9.0D+8.8D+0.3
20162016_Pres-G_USPres-G2016-11-061,107R+0.3D+2.1R+2.4
20162016_Pres-G_USPres-G2016-11-01898D+0.8D+2.1R+1.3
20162016_Pres-G_USPres-G2016-10-271,039D+3.0D+2.1D+0.9
20162016_Pres-G_USPres-G2016-10-21815R+0.1D+2.1R+2.2
20122012_Pres-G_USPres-G2012-11-04712D+1.6D+3.9R+2.3
20122012_Pres-G_USPres-G2012-10-25942D+1.3D+3.9R+2.5
20122012_Pres-G_USPres-G2012-10-19885D+4.0D+3.9D+0.1
20082008_Pres-G_USPres-G2008-11-02981D+4.7D+7.3R+2.6
20082008_Pres-G_USPres-G2008-10-29970D+4.4D+7.3R+2.9
20082008_Pres-G_USPres-G2008-10-24886D+3.7D+7.3R+3.6
20082008_Pres-G_USPres-G2008-10-21886D+1.1D+7.3R+6.2
20082008_Pres-G_USPres-G2008-10-191,050D+6.0D+7.3R+1.3
20082008_Pres-G_USPres-G2008-10-181,100D+5.3D+7.3R+2.0
20082008_Pres-G_USPres-G2008-10-14850D+3.6D+7.3R+3.7
20042004_Pres-G_USPres-G2004-10-311,284R+3.3R+2.5R+0.8
20042004_Pres-G_USPres-G2004-10-281,000R+2.0R+2.5D+0.5
20042004_Pres-G_USPres-G2004-10-241,000R+5.0R+2.5R+2.5
20042004_Pres-G_USPres-G2004-10-201,000R+0.5R+2.5D+2.0
20042004_Pres-G_USPres-G2004-10-161,000R+3.5R+2.5R+1.0
20042004_Pres-G_USPres-G2004-10-121,000R+3.5R+2.5R+1.0
20002000_Pres-G_USPres-G2000-11-051,292R+1.9D+0.5R+2.4
20002000_Pres-G_USPres-G2000-11-02883R+7.0D+0.5R+7.5
20002000_Pres-G_USPres-G2000-10-301,016R+4.0D+0.5R+4.5
20002000_Pres-G_USPres-G2000-10-21829R+2.0D+0.5R+2.5

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.