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Pollster file

Public Policy Polling

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
333
Mean absolute error
4.15percentage points
Historical bias
D+0.99
Represented cycles
112008–2022
Current archive
154canonical records
History span
Oct 17, 2008through Oct 20, 2022
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
Public Policy Polling (D)
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2008 · 2009 · 2010 · 2011 · 2012 · 2013 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022

333 eligible historical polls across 11 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 154 total

Republican +8

Don't know 14% · Generic Republican 47% · Annie Andrews 39%

Field dates
Jul 16–Jul 17, 2026
Sample
577 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Andrews +3

Don't know 21% · Mark Lynch 38% · Annie Andrews 41%

Field dates
Jul 16–Jul 17, 2026
Sample
577 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Andrews +3

Don't know 19% · Nancy Mace 39% · Annie Andrews 42%

Field dates
Jul 16–Jul 17, 2026
Sample
577 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Gowdy +3

Don't know 14% · Trey Gowdy 44% · Annie Andrews 41%

Field dates
Jul 16–Jul 17, 2026
Sample
577 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Andrews +6

Don't know 22% · John Warren 36% · Annie Andrews 42%

Field dates
Jul 16–Jul 17, 2026
Sample
577 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Norman +1

Don't know 15% · Ralph Norman 43% · Annie Andrews 42%

Field dates
Jul 16–Jul 17, 2026
Sample
577 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Tied

Don't know 12% · Joe Lombardo 44% · Aaron Ford 44%

Field dates
Jul 15–Jul 16, 2026
Sample
558 LV
Sponsor / client
Democratic Governors Association
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
State Legislature

NC-LEGISLATIVE-GENERIC

Democratic +2

Democratic candidate 46% · Republican candidate 44%

Field dates
Jul 10–Jul 11, 2026
Sample
759 V
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
State Supreme Court

NC-SUPREME-COURT-SEAT-1

Earls +2

Anita Earls 44% · Sarah Stevens 42%

Field dates
Jul 10–Jul 11, 2026
Sample
759 V
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Cooper +4

Don't know 8% · Michael Whatley 44% · Roy Cooper 48%

Field dates
Jul 10–Jul 11, 2026
Sample
759 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Jackson +5

Don't know 7% · Susan Collins 44% · Troy Jackson 49%

Field dates
Jul 7, 2026
Sample
785 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Collins +5

Don't know 11% · Graham Platner 42% · Susan Collins 47%

Field dates
Jul 7, 2026
Sample
785 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

50 shown · 333 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
20162016_Pres-G_NVPres-G2016-11-01688D+3.0D+2.5D+0.5
20162016_Pres-G_NHPres-G2016-11-01781D+5.0D+0.4D+4.6
20162016_Pres-G_NCPres-G2016-11-011,169D+2.0R+3.7D+5.7
20162016_Pres-G_MOPres-G2016-11-011,083R+12.0R+18.6D+6.6
20162016_Gov-G_NHGov-G2016-11-01781D+3.0R+2.3D+5.3
20162016_Sen-G_FLSen-G2016-10-267420R+7.7D+7.7
20162016_Pres-G_FLPres-G2016-10-26742D+4.0R+1.2D+5.2
20162016_House-G_NY-19House-G2016-10-241,218D+3.0R+8.1D+11.1
20162016_Sen-G_NCSen-G2016-10-22875R+1.0R+5.7D+4.7
20162016_Pres-G_NCPres-G2016-10-22875D+3.0R+3.7D+6.7
20162016_House-G_NJ-7House-G2016-10-229820R+11.0D+11.0
20162016_Gov-G_NCGov-G2016-10-22875D+2.0D+0.2D+1.8
20162016_Pres-G_USPres-G2016-10-21990D+6.0D+2.1D+3.9
20162016_Sen-G_WISen-G2016-10-19804D+6.0R+3.4D+9.4
20162016_Pres-G_WIPres-G2016-10-19804D+12.0R+0.8D+12.8
20142014_Sen-G_NHSen-G2014-11-021,690D+2.0D+3.3R+1.3
20142014_Sen-G_NCSen-G2014-11-021,333D+2.0R+1.6D+3.6
20142014_Sen-G_MISen-G2014-11-02914D+13.0D+13.3R+0.3
20142014_Sen-G_ILSen-G2014-11-021,064D+9.0D+10.8R+1.9
20142014_Sen-G_IASen-G2014-11-021,265R+3.0R+8.3D+5.3
20142014_Sen-G_GASen-G2014-11-02975R+0.5R+7.7D+7.2
20142014_Sen-G_COSen-G2014-11-02739R+3.0R+1.9R+1.1
20142014_Sen-G_AKSen-G2014-11-021,052R+1.0R+2.1D+1.1
20142014_House-G_AK-1House-G2014-11-021,052R+6.0R+10.0D+4.0
20142014_Gov-G_NHGov-G2014-11-021,690D+5.0D+5.0D+0.0
20142014_Gov-G_MIGov-G2014-11-02914R+0.5R+4.1D+3.6
20142014_Gov-G_KSGov-G2014-11-02963D+1.5R+3.7D+5.2
20142014_Gov-G_ILGov-G2014-11-021,064D+1.0R+3.9D+4.9
20142014_Gov-G_IAGov-G2014-11-021,265R+11.0R+21.7D+10.7
20142014_Gov-G_GAGov-G2014-11-02975R+4.0R+7.9D+3.9
20142014_Gov-G_FLGov-G2014-11-021,198D+0.5R+1.1D+1.6
20142014_Gov-G_COGov-G2014-11-02739R+0.5D+3.3R+3.8
20142014_Sen-O_LASen-G2014-10-311,003D+3.5D+1.1D+2.4
20142014_Sen-G_NHSen-G2014-10-31679D+2.0D+3.3R+1.3
20142014_Sen-G_NCSen-G2014-10-31738D+1.0R+1.6D+2.6
20142014_Sen-G_MASen-G2014-10-31887D+14.0D+23.9R+9.9
20142014_Sen-G_KYSen-G2014-10-311,503R+8.5R+15.5D+7.0
20142014_Sen-G_IASen-G2014-10-31617R+1.0R+8.3D+7.3
20142014_Sen-G_GASen-G2014-10-315330R+7.7D+7.7
20142014_Sen-G_ARSen-G2014-10-311,092R+7.0R+17.1D+10.1
20142014_Gov-G_MAGov-G2014-10-31887R+2.5R+1.9R+0.6
20142014_Gov-G_KSGov-G2014-10-31752D+4.0R+3.7D+7.7
20142014_Gov-G_IDGov-G2014-10-311,001R+12.0R+15.0D+3.0
20142014_Gov-G_CTGov-G2014-10-31931D+3.0D+2.6D+0.4
20142014_Gov-G_ARGov-G2014-10-311,092R+9.5R+13.9D+4.4
20142014_Sen-G_VASen-G2014-10-30937D+9.0D+0.8D+8.2
20142014_Sen-G_NCSen-G2014-10-29657D+1.0R+1.6D+2.6
20142014_Sen-G_COSen-G2014-10-295730R+1.9D+1.9
20142014_Gov-G_WIGov-G2014-10-291,814R+1.0R+5.7D+4.7
20142014_Gov-G_COGov-G2014-10-295730D+3.3R+3.3

4 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.