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Pollster file

Public Policy Polling

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
333
Mean absolute error
4.15percentage points
Historical bias
D+0.99
Represented cycles
112008–2022
Current archive
153canonical records
History span
Oct 17, 2008through Oct 20, 2022
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
Public Policy Polling (D)
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2008 · 2009 · 2010 · 2011 · 2012 · 2013 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022

333 eligible historical polls across 11 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 153 total

Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +7

Dem 48% · Rep 41%

Field dates
Jan 29–Jan 30, 2026
Sample
652 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Peltola +2

Mary Peltola 49% · Dan Sullivan 47%

Field dates
Jan 16–Jan 17, 2026
Sample
611 RV
Sponsor / client
Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
House

HOU-NY-01

LaLota +3

Nick LaLota 41% · Chris Gallant 38%

Field dates
Dec 10–Dec 11, 2025
Sample
579 A
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Senate · D primary

Illinois · Senate

Krishnamoorthi +12

Juliana Stratton 20% · Raja Krishnamoorthi 32% · Robin Kelly 9%

Field dates
Dec 8–Dec 9, 2025
Sample
667 LV
Sponsor / client
Democratic Lieutenant Governors Association
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Senate · R primary

Texas · Senate

Paxton +10

Ken Paxton 32% · John Cornyn 22% · Wesley Hunt 22%

Field dates
Dec 1–Dec 2, 2025
Sample
527 LV
Sponsor / client
Senate Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Senate · R primary

Texas · Senate

Paxton +10

John Cornyn 34% · Ken Paxton 44%

Field dates
Dec 1–Dec 2, 2025
Sample
527 LV
Sponsor / client
Senate Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
House

HOU-MI-04

Huizenga +2

Bill Huizenga 44% · Sean McCann 42%

Field dates
Nov 20–Nov 21, 2025
Sample
559 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
House

HOU-PA-10

Stelson +4

Scott Perry 44% · Janelle Stelson 48%

Field dates
Nov 18–Nov 19, 2025
Sample
549 RV
Sponsor / client
Republicans Against Perry
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
House

HOU-WI-03

Cooke +2

Derrick Van Orden 42% · Rebecca Cooke 44%

Field dates
Oct 14–Oct 15, 2025
Sample
609 LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
House

HOU-AZ-06

Mendoza +1

Juan Ciscomani 41% · JoAnna Mendoza 42%

Field dates
Oct 14–Oct 15, 2025
Sample
581 LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Governor

GOV-NJ

Sherrill +6

Mikie Sherrill 49% · Jack Ciattarelli 43%

Field dates
Oct 2–Oct 3, 2025
Sample
703 RV
Sponsor / client
Democratic Governors Association
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Senate · D primary

Illinois · Senate

Krishnamoorthi +15

Juliana Stratton 18% · Raja Krishnamoorthi 33% · Robin Kelly 8%

Field dates
Sep 25–Sep 26, 2025
Sample
576 LV
Sponsor / client
Democratic Lieutenant Governors Association
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

50 shown · 333 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
20122012_Sen-G_MISen-G2012-11-02700D+13.0D+20.8R+7.8
20122012_Sen-G_MASen-G2012-11-021,089D+6.0D+7.5R+1.6
20122012_Sen-G_CTSen-G2012-11-021,220D+9.0D+11.8R+2.8
20122012_Pres-G_WAPres-G2012-11-02932D+7.0D+14.9R+7.9
20122012_Pres-G_MIPres-G2012-11-02700D+6.0D+9.5R+3.5
20122012_Pres-G_MEPres-G2012-11-021,633D+13.0D+15.3R+2.3
20122012_Pres-G_MAPres-G2012-11-021,089D+15.0D+23.2R+8.2
20122012_Pres-G_M2Pres-G2012-11-02768D+5.0D+8.6R+3.6
20122012_Pres-G_M1Pres-G2012-11-02865D+20.0D+21.4R+1.4
20122012_Pres-G_CTPres-G2012-11-021,220D+13.0D+17.3R+4.3
20122012_Gov-G_WAGov-G2012-11-02932D+2.0D+3.1R+1.1
20122012_Pres-G_ORPres-G2012-11-01921D+6.0D+12.2R+6.2
20122012_Pres-G_MNPres-G2012-11-01772D+9.0D+7.7D+1.3
20122012_Pres-G_COPres-G2012-11-01825D+4.0D+5.4R+1.4
20122012_Pres-G_VAPres-G2012-10-31600D+3.0D+3.9R+0.9
20122012_Pres-G_MIPres-G2012-10-31500D+8.0D+9.5R+1.5
20122012_Pres-G_WIPres-G2012-10-30825D+5.0D+6.8R+1.9
20122012_Pres-G_OHPres-G2012-10-30600D+5.0D+3.0D+2.0
20122012_Pres-G_NCPres-G2012-10-307300R+2.0D+2.0
20122012_Pres-G_IAPres-G2012-10-30676D+5.0D+5.8R+0.8
20122012_Gov-G_NCGov-G2012-10-30730R+11.0R+11.4D+0.4
20122012_Sen-G_OHSen-G2012-10-27718D+11.0D+6.0D+5.0
20122012_Sen-G_FLSen-G2012-10-27687D+8.0D+13.0R+5.0
20122012_Pres-G_USPres-G2012-10-271,4000D+3.9R+3.9
20122012_Pres-G_OHPres-G2012-10-27718D+4.0D+3.0D+1.0
20122012_Pres-G_NHPres-G2012-10-27874D+2.0D+5.6R+3.6
20122012_Pres-G_FLPres-G2012-10-27687D+1.0D+0.9D+0.1
20122012_House-G_USHouse-G2012-10-271,400D+1.0D+1.1R+0.1
20122012_Gov-G_NHGov-G2012-10-27874D+4.0D+12.1R+8.1
20122012_House-G_NH-1House-G2012-10-26654R+1.0D+3.8R+4.8
20122012_House-G_MN-8House-G2012-10-261,020D+4.0D+8.9R+4.9
20122012_House-G_IL-8House-G2012-10-26500D+14.0D+9.5D+4.5
20122012_House-G_FL-18House-G2012-10-26631D+1.0D+0.6D+0.4
20122012_House-G_CA-7House-G2012-10-267920D+3.4R+3.4
20122012_Sen-G_NMSen-G2012-10-24727D+8.0D+5.7D+2.3
20122012_Pres-G_WIPres-G2012-10-24827D+6.0D+6.8R+0.8
20122012_Pres-G_VAPres-G2012-10-24722D+5.0D+3.9D+1.1
20122012_Pres-G_NMPres-G2012-10-24727D+9.0D+10.2R+1.1
20122012_Pres-G_NCPres-G2012-10-248800R+2.0D+2.0
20122012_Pres-G_IAPres-G2012-10-24690D+2.0D+5.8R+3.8
20122012_Pres-G_COPres-G2012-10-24904D+3.5D+5.4R+1.9
20122012_Gov-G_NCGov-G2012-10-24880R+13.0R+11.4R+1.6
20122012_Sen-G_NVSen-G2012-10-236360R+1.2D+1.2
20122012_Pres-G_USPres-G2012-10-231,200D+1.0D+3.9R+2.9
20122012_Pres-G_NVPres-G2012-10-23636D+3.0D+6.7R+3.7
20122012_House-G_NY-23House-G2012-10-22955R+5.0R+3.8R+1.2
20122012_Sen-G_MOSen-G2012-10-20582D+6.0D+15.7R+9.7
20122012_Pres-G_USPres-G2012-10-201,2000D+3.9R+3.9
20122012_Pres-G_MOPres-G2012-10-20582R+6.0R+9.4D+3.4
20122012_House-G_USHouse-G2012-10-201,3000D+1.1R+1.1

4 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.