HOU-NC-07
Don't know 13% · Maad Abu-Ghazalah 3% · Kimberly Hardy 39% · David Rouzer 45%
- Field dates
- Aug 19–Aug 20, 2026
- Sample
- 517 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- Democratic-sponsored
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
333 eligible historical polls across 11 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
12 shown · 154 total
Don't know 13% · Maad Abu-Ghazalah 3% · Kimberly Hardy 39% · David Rouzer 45%
Don't know 9% · Generic Democrat 43% · Generic Republican 48%
Don't know 8% · Kimberly Hardy 43% · David Rouzer 49%
Ed Markey 53% · Seth Moulton 22%
Don't know 9% · Adam Hamilton 45% · Roger Marshall 46%
David Crowley 24% · Francesca Hong 42%
Mandela Barnes 15% · Joel Brennan 3% · David Crowley 14% · Francesca Hong 35% · Kelda Roys 5%
Don't know 21% · Jennifer Jenkins 35% · Mike Haridopolos 44%
Don't know 20% · Russell Fry 39% · Annie Andrews 42%
Don't know 19% · Mark Sanford 40% · Annie Andrews 41%
Don't know 17% · Alan Wilson 45% · Jermaine Johnson 37%
Don't know 17% · Pamela Evette 41% · Annie Andrews 42%
50 shown · 333 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_NV | Pres-G | 2016-11-01 | 688 | D+3.0 | D+2.5 | D+0.5 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_NH | Pres-G | 2016-11-01 | 781 | D+5.0 | D+0.4 | D+4.6 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_NC | Pres-G | 2016-11-01 | 1,169 | D+2.0 | R+3.7 | D+5.7 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_MO | Pres-G | 2016-11-01 | 1,083 | R+12.0 | R+18.6 | D+6.6 |
| 2016 | 2016_Gov-G_NH | Gov-G | 2016-11-01 | 781 | D+3.0 | R+2.3 | D+5.3 |
| 2016 | 2016_Sen-G_FL | Sen-G | 2016-10-26 | 742 | 0 | R+7.7 | D+7.7 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_FL | Pres-G | 2016-10-26 | 742 | D+4.0 | R+1.2 | D+5.2 |
| 2016 | 2016_House-G_NY-19 | House-G | 2016-10-24 | 1,218 | D+3.0 | R+8.1 | D+11.1 |
| 2016 | 2016_Sen-G_NC | Sen-G | 2016-10-22 | 875 | R+1.0 | R+5.7 | D+4.7 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_NC | Pres-G | 2016-10-22 | 875 | D+3.0 | R+3.7 | D+6.7 |
| 2016 | 2016_House-G_NJ-7 | House-G | 2016-10-22 | 982 | 0 | R+11.0 | D+11.0 |
| 2016 | 2016_Gov-G_NC | Gov-G | 2016-10-22 | 875 | D+2.0 | D+0.2 | D+1.8 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2016-10-21 | 990 | D+6.0 | D+2.1 | D+3.9 |
| 2016 | 2016_Sen-G_WI | Sen-G | 2016-10-19 | 804 | D+6.0 | R+3.4 | D+9.4 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_WI | Pres-G | 2016-10-19 | 804 | D+12.0 | R+0.8 | D+12.8 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_NH | Sen-G | 2014-11-02 | 1,690 | D+2.0 | D+3.3 | R+1.3 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_NC | Sen-G | 2014-11-02 | 1,333 | D+2.0 | R+1.6 | D+3.6 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_MI | Sen-G | 2014-11-02 | 914 | D+13.0 | D+13.3 | R+0.3 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_IL | Sen-G | 2014-11-02 | 1,064 | D+9.0 | D+10.8 | R+1.9 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_IA | Sen-G | 2014-11-02 | 1,265 | R+3.0 | R+8.3 | D+5.3 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_GA | Sen-G | 2014-11-02 | 975 | R+0.5 | R+7.7 | D+7.2 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_CO | Sen-G | 2014-11-02 | 739 | R+3.0 | R+1.9 | R+1.1 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_AK | Sen-G | 2014-11-02 | 1,052 | R+1.0 | R+2.1 | D+1.1 |
| 2014 | 2014_House-G_AK-1 | House-G | 2014-11-02 | 1,052 | R+6.0 | R+10.0 | D+4.0 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_NH | Gov-G | 2014-11-02 | 1,690 | D+5.0 | D+5.0 | D+0.0 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_MI | Gov-G | 2014-11-02 | 914 | R+0.5 | R+4.1 | D+3.6 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_KS | Gov-G | 2014-11-02 | 963 | D+1.5 | R+3.7 | D+5.2 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_IL | Gov-G | 2014-11-02 | 1,064 | D+1.0 | R+3.9 | D+4.9 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_IA | Gov-G | 2014-11-02 | 1,265 | R+11.0 | R+21.7 | D+10.7 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_GA | Gov-G | 2014-11-02 | 975 | R+4.0 | R+7.9 | D+3.9 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_FL | Gov-G | 2014-11-02 | 1,198 | D+0.5 | R+1.1 | D+1.6 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_CO | Gov-G | 2014-11-02 | 739 | R+0.5 | D+3.3 | R+3.8 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-O_LA | Sen-G | 2014-10-31 | 1,003 | D+3.5 | D+1.1 | D+2.4 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_NH | Sen-G | 2014-10-31 | 679 | D+2.0 | D+3.3 | R+1.3 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_NC | Sen-G | 2014-10-31 | 738 | D+1.0 | R+1.6 | D+2.6 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_MA | Sen-G | 2014-10-31 | 887 | D+14.0 | D+23.9 | R+9.9 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_KY | Sen-G | 2014-10-31 | 1,503 | R+8.5 | R+15.5 | D+7.0 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_IA | Sen-G | 2014-10-31 | 617 | R+1.0 | R+8.3 | D+7.3 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_GA | Sen-G | 2014-10-31 | 533 | 0 | R+7.7 | D+7.7 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_AR | Sen-G | 2014-10-31 | 1,092 | R+7.0 | R+17.1 | D+10.1 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_MA | Gov-G | 2014-10-31 | 887 | R+2.5 | R+1.9 | R+0.6 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_KS | Gov-G | 2014-10-31 | 752 | D+4.0 | R+3.7 | D+7.7 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_ID | Gov-G | 2014-10-31 | 1,001 | R+12.0 | R+15.0 | D+3.0 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_CT | Gov-G | 2014-10-31 | 931 | D+3.0 | D+2.6 | D+0.4 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_AR | Gov-G | 2014-10-31 | 1,092 | R+9.5 | R+13.9 | D+4.4 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_VA | Sen-G | 2014-10-30 | 937 | D+9.0 | D+0.8 | D+8.2 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_NC | Sen-G | 2014-10-29 | 657 | D+1.0 | R+1.6 | D+2.6 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_CO | Sen-G | 2014-10-29 | 573 | 0 | R+1.9 | D+1.9 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_WI | Gov-G | 2014-10-29 | 1,814 | R+1.0 | R+5.7 | D+4.7 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_CO | Gov-G | 2014-10-29 | 573 | 0 | D+3.3 | R+3.3 |
4 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.