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Pollster file

Public Policy Polling

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
333
Mean absolute error
4.15percentage points
Historical bias
D+0.99
Represented cycles
112008–2022
Current archive
188canonical records
History span
Oct 17, 2008through Oct 20, 2022
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
Public Policy Polling (D)
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2008 · 2009 · 2010 · 2011 · 2012 · 2013 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022

333 eligible historical polls across 11 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 188 total

Lacore +2

Jenny Honeycutt 45% · Nancy Lacore 47%

Field dates
Oct 21–Oct 22, 2026
Sample
770 LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Tied

Jessica Killin 47% · Jeff Crank 47%

Field dates
Oct 19–Oct 20, 2026
Sample
577 LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Taylor +1

Rob Wittman 46% · Shannon Taylor 47%

Field dates
Oct 21–Oct 22, 2026
Sample
570 LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Lacore +2

Jenny Costa Honeycutt 45% · Nancy Lacore 47%

Field dates
Oct 21–Oct 22, 2026
Sample
770 LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Taylor +1

Robert Wittman 46% · Shannon Taylor 47%

Field dates
Oct 21–Oct 22, 2026
Sample
570 LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Moskowitz +5

Jared Moskowitz 47% · Scott Singer 42%

Field dates
Oct 21–Oct 22, 2026
Sample
592 LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Dembo +6

Ralph Alvarado 41% · Zach Dembo 47%

Field dates
Oct 19–Oct 20, 2026
Sample
572 LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Flood +1

Mike Flood 46% · Chris Backemeyer 45%

Field dates
Oct 19–Oct 20, 2026
Sample
536 LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Wellman +1

Ann Wagner 45% · Fred Wellman 46%

Field dates
Oct 19–Oct 20, 2026
Sample
631 LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Hudson +4

Richard Hudson 46% · Richard Ojeda 42%

Field dates
Oct 19–Oct 20, 2026
Sample
526 LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Gray +1

Anna Paulina Luna 46% · Leela Gray 47%

Field dates
Oct 14–Oct 15, 2026
Sample
603 LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Tied

Brad Finstad 43% · Jake Johnson 43%

Field dates
Oct 13–Oct 14, 2026
Sample
588 LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

50 shown · 333 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
2022WA · SenateSen-G2022-10-20782D+10.0D+14.6R+4.5
2020IA · SenateSen-G2020-11-02871D+1.0R+6.6D+7.6
2020IA · PresidentPres-G2020-11-02871D+1.0R+8.2D+9.2
2020MN · SenateSen-G2020-10-30770D+9.0D+5.2D+3.8
2020MI · SenateSen-G2020-10-30745D+10.0D+1.7D+8.3
2020MN · PresidentPres-G2020-10-30770D+11.0D+7.1D+3.9
2020MI · PresidentPres-G2020-10-30745D+10.0D+2.8D+7.2
2020TX · PresidentPres-G2020-10-29775D+2.0R+5.6D+7.6
2020PA · PresidentPres-G2020-10-291,012D+7.0D+1.2D+5.8
2020FL · PresidentPres-G2020-10-29941D+7.0R+3.4D+10.4
2020NC-9 · HouseHouse-G2020-10-29750R+2.0R+11.2D+9.2
2020GA · SenateSen-G2020-10-28661D+19.0D+7.0D+12.0
2020GA · SenateSen-G2020-10-28661D+3.0R+1.8D+4.8
2020GA · PresidentPres-G2020-10-28661D+2.0D+0.2D+1.8
2020NC · SenateSen-G2020-10-27937D+3.0R+1.8D+4.8
2020MT · SenateSen-G2020-10-27886D+1.0R+10.0D+11.0
2020NC · PresidentPres-G2020-10-27937D+4.0R+1.4D+5.3
2020MT · PresidentPres-G2020-10-27886R+2.0R+16.4D+14.4
2020AZ-6 · HouseHouse-G2020-10-27582D+4.0R+4.3D+8.3
2020MI · SenateSen-G2020-10-22804D+9.0D+1.7D+7.3
2020PA · PresidentPres-G2020-10-22890D+5.0D+1.2D+3.8
2020MI · PresidentPres-G2020-10-22804D+7.0D+2.8D+4.2
2020VA-5 · HouseHouse-G2020-10-22910D+3.0R+5.2D+8.2
2020KS · SenateSen-G2020-10-208970R+11.4D+11.4
2020AK · SenateSen-G2020-10-20800R+3.0R+12.7D+9.7
2020KS · PresidentPres-G2020-10-20897R+12.0R+14.7D+2.6
2020AK · PresidentPres-G2020-10-20800R+5.0R+10.1D+5.1
2020TX · SenateSen-G2020-10-15712R+3.0R+9.6D+6.6
2020WA · PresidentPres-G2020-10-15610D+23.0D+19.3D+3.7
2020OH-12 · HouseHouse-G2020-10-15818R+4.0R+13.5D+9.5
2020WA · GovernorGov-G2020-10-15610D+16.0D+13.5D+2.5
2020NY-24 · HouseHouse-G2020-10-14789D+2.0R+10.2D+12.2
2018KS · GovernorGov-G2018-10-206980D+5.1R+5.1
2018NV · SenateSen-G2018-10-16648D+2.0D+5.1R+3.1
2018GA-3 · HouseHouse-G2018-10-16681R+30.0R+31.1D+1.1
2018OH-12 · HouseHouse-G2018-07-28617R+4.0R+0.8R+3.2
2016CO · SenateSen-G2016-11-04704D+10.0D+5.7D+4.3
2016VA · PresidentPres-G2016-11-041,238D+5.5D+5.4D+0.1
2016MI · PresidentPres-G2016-11-04957D+5.5R+0.2D+5.7
2016CO · PresidentPres-G2016-11-04704D+5.0D+4.9D+0.1
2016MO · PresidentPres-G2016-11-02871R+13.0R+18.6D+5.6
2016MO · GovernorGov-G2016-11-02871D+3.0R+5.6D+8.6
2016WI · SenateSen-G2016-11-01891D+5.0R+3.4D+8.4
2016PA · SenateSen-G2016-11-011,050D+2.0R+1.4D+3.4
2016NV · SenateSen-G2016-11-01688D+3.0D+2.5D+0.5
2016NH · SenateSen-G2016-11-01781D+3.0D+0.1D+2.9
2016NC · SenateSen-G2016-11-011,169R+3.0R+5.7D+2.7
2016MO · SenateSen-G2016-11-011,083R+2.0R+2.8D+0.8
2016WI · PresidentPres-G2016-11-01891D+7.0R+0.8D+7.8
2016PA · PresidentPres-G2016-11-011,050D+4.0R+0.7D+4.7

4 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.