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Pollster file

Normington, Petts & Associates

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
12
Mean absolute error
7.55percentage points
Historical bias
D+1.63
Represented cycles
72002–2020
Current archive
17canonical records
History span
Oct 17, 2002through Oct 13, 2020
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
Normington Petts · Normington Petts & Associates (D) · Normington, Petts & Associates (D)
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2002 · 2004 · 2006 · 2008 · 2010 · 2014 · 2020

12 eligible historical polls across 7 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 17 total

Garcia +2

Johnny Garcia 47% · Carlos De La Cruz 45%

Field dates
Oct 12–Oct 14, 2026
Sample
400 LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Tied

Brandon Herrera 46% · Katy Padilla Stout 46%

Field dates
Oct 5–Oct 7, 2026
Sample
400 LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Tied

Brandon Herrera 46% · Katy Padilla Stout 46%

Field dates
Oct 5–Oct 7, 2026
Sample
Not reported LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Garcia +2

Carlos De La Cruz 45% · Johnny Garcia 47%

Field dates
Oct 12–Oct 14, 2026
Sample
Not reported LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Pulido +13

Bobby Pulido 54% · Monica De La Cruz 41%

Field dates
Sep 24–Sep 28, 2026
Sample
400 LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Democrat +7

Generic Republican 44% · Generic Democrat 51%

Field dates
Sep 24–Sep 28, 2026
Sample
400 LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Cruz +1

Johnny Garcia 44% · Carlos De La Cruz 45%

Field dates
Aug 27–Aug 31, 2026
Sample
500 LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Cruz +1

Carlos De La Cruz 45% · Johnny Garcia 44%

Field dates
Aug 27–Aug 31, 2026
Sample
Not reported LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Democrat +2

Generic Republican 46% · Generic Democrat 48%

Field dates
Jul 23–Jul 27, 2026
Sample
Not reported LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Pulido +6

Monica De La Cruz 45% · Bobby Pulido 51%

Field dates
Jul 23–Jul 27, 2026
Sample
Not reported LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Stetson +6

Janelle Stetson 51% · Scott Perry 45%

Field dates
Apr 20–Apr 23, 2026
Sample
400 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +2

Dem 51% · Rep 49%

Field dates
Sep 11–Sep 16, 2025
Sample
800 LV
Sponsor / client
Third Way
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

12 shown · 12 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
2020MN-2 · HouseHouse-G2020-10-13400D+18.0D+2.3D+15.7
2014ME-2 · HouseHouse-G2014-10-16400D+8.0R+5.2D+13.2
2010CA-20 · HouseHouse-G2010-10-23400D+6.0D+3.4D+2.6
2010KY · SenateSen-G2010-10-18600D+2.0R+11.5D+13.5
2008IL-11 · HouseHouse-G2008-10-16400D+21.0D+23.9R+2.9
2008IL-10 · HouseHouse-G2008-10-16400R+6.0R+5.1R+0.9
2008VA-2 · HouseHouse-G2008-10-15400R+5.0D+5.0R+9.9
2006NJ · SenateSen-G2006-10-24800D+9.0D+16.0R+7.0
2006IL-6 · HouseHouse-G2006-10-24400D+1.0R+2.7D+3.7
2006AZ-5 · HouseHouse-G2006-10-19400R+1.0D+4.0R+5.0
2004TX-17 · HouseHouse-G2004-10-12450D+10.0D+3.8D+6.2
2002TX · SenateSen-G2002-10-17600R+2.0R+12.0D+10.0

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.