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Pollster file

Marist College

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
137
Mean absolute error
4.42percentage points
Historical bias
D+0.47
Represented cycles
151998–2024
Current archive
12canonical records
History span
Oct 27, 1998through Oct 30, 2024
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
Marist
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
1998 · 2000 · 2002 · 2004 · 2005 · 2006 · 2008 · 2010 · 2012 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022 · 2024

137 eligible historical polls across 15 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 12 total

Hochul +17

Kathy Hochul 50% · Bruce Blakeman 33%

Field dates
Feb 16–Feb 19, 2026
Sample
1,442 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Disapprove +18

Approve 39% · Disapprove 57%

Field dates
Jan 12–Jan 13, 2026
Sample
1,222 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Disapprove +18

Approve 38% · Disapprove 56%

Field dates
Jan 12–Jan 13, 2026
Sample
1,408 A
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +14

Dem 55% · Rep 41%

Field dates
Nov 10–Nov 13, 2025
Sample
1,291 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Disapprove +17

Approve 39% · Disapprove 56%

Field dates
Nov 10–Nov 13, 2025
Sample
1,443 A
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Disapprove +17

Approve 40% · Disapprove 57%

Field dates
Nov 10–Nov 13, 2025
Sample
1,291 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

50 shown · 137 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
20162016_Sen-G_NHSen-G2016-10-22768R+1.0D+0.1R+1.1
20162016_Pres-G_NVPres-G2016-10-227070D+2.5R+2.5
20162016_Pres-G_NHPres-G2016-10-22768D+8.5D+0.4D+8.1
20162016_Gov-G_NHGov-G2016-10-22768D+1.0R+2.3D+3.3
20142014_Sen-O_LASen-G2014-10-29630D+8.0D+1.1D+6.9
20142014_Sen-G_KYSen-G2014-10-29556R+9.0R+15.5D+6.5
20142014_Sen-G_GASen-G2014-10-29603R+3.5R+7.7D+4.2
20142014_Gov-G_GAGov-G2014-10-29603R+4.5R+7.9D+3.4
20142014_Gov-G_NYGov-G2014-10-27503D+26.0D+14.0D+12.0
20142014_Sen-G_SDSen-G2014-10-21730R+14.0R+20.9D+6.9
20142014_Sen-G_NCSen-G2014-10-217560R+1.6D+1.6
20142014_Sen-G_ARSen-G2014-10-21621R+2.0R+17.1D+15.1
20142014_Gov-G_SDGov-G2014-10-21730R+39.0R+45.0D+6.0
20142014_Gov-G_ARGov-G2014-10-21621R+3.0R+13.9D+10.9
20142014_Sen-G_IASen-G2014-10-20772R+3.0R+8.3D+5.3
20142014_Sen-G_COSen-G2014-10-20755R+1.0R+1.9D+0.9
20142014_Gov-G_KSGov-G2014-10-20757D+1.0R+3.7D+4.7
20142014_Gov-G_IAGov-G2014-10-20772R+23.0R+21.7R+1.3
20142014_Gov-G_COGov-G2014-10-20755D+5.0D+3.3D+1.7
20122012_Sen-G_VASen-G2012-11-021,165D+3.0D+5.9R+2.9
20122012_Pres-G_VAPres-G2012-11-021,165D+1.0D+3.9R+2.9
20122012_Sen-G_OHSen-G2012-11-01971D+5.0D+6.0R+1.0
20122012_Pres-G_OHPres-G2012-11-01971D+6.0D+3.0D+3.0
20122012_Sen-G_FLSen-G2012-10-311,545D+9.0D+13.0R+4.0
20122012_Pres-G_FLPres-G2012-10-311,545D+2.0D+0.9D+1.1
20122012_Sen-G_WISen-G2012-10-291,065D+1.0D+5.5R+4.5
20122012_Pres-G_WIPres-G2012-10-291,065D+3.0D+6.8R+3.9
20122012_Pres-G_NHPres-G2012-10-291,013D+2.0D+5.6R+3.6
20122012_Pres-G_IAPres-G2012-10-291,142D+6.0D+5.8D+0.2
20122012_Gov-G_NHGov-G2012-10-291,013D+5.0D+12.1R+7.1
20122012_Sen-G_NVSen-G2012-10-241,042R+3.0R+1.2R+1.8
20122012_Pres-G_NVPres-G2012-10-241,042D+3.0D+6.7R+3.7
20122012_Pres-G_COPres-G2012-10-241,1280D+5.4R+5.4
20122012_Sen-G_NYSen-G2012-10-20565D+44.0D+45.8R+1.8
20122012_Pres-G_NYPres-G2012-10-20565D+26.0D+28.2R+2.2
20122012_Gov-G_NHGov-G2012-10-191,013D+5.0D+12.1R+7.1
20122012_Sen-G_WISen-G2012-10-161,013D+4.0D+5.5R+1.6
20122012_Pres-G_WIPres-G2012-10-161,013D+6.0D+6.8R+0.8
20122012_Pres-G_IAPres-G2012-10-161,137D+8.0D+5.8D+2.2
20102010_Sen-G_WISen-G2010-10-27491R+7.0R+4.8R+2.2
20102010_Sen-G_WASen-G2010-10-27638D+1.0D+4.7R+3.7
20102010_Sen-G_PASen-G2010-10-27461R+7.0R+2.0R+5.0
20102010_Sen-G_NYSen-G2010-10-27415D+24.0D+34.1R+10.1
20102010_Sen-G_COSen-G2010-10-27615R+4.0D+1.6R+5.6
20102010_Sen-GS_NYSen-G2010-10-27415D+15.0D+27.8R+12.8
20102010_Gov-G_WIGov-G2010-10-27491R+7.0R+5.8R+1.2
20102010_Gov-G_PAGov-G2010-10-27461R+7.0R+9.0D+2.0
20102010_Gov-G_NYGov-G2010-10-27415D+19.0D+29.3R+10.3
20102010_House-G_USHouse-G2010-10-24508R+3.0R+6.8D+3.8
20102010_Sen-G_NYSen-G2010-10-19505D+28.0D+34.1R+6.1

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.