Call
the Map
FORECAST55 DAYS OUT
← Pollster performanceFilter the Full Poll Archive →
Pollster file

GQR

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
59
Mean absolute error
4.17percentage points
Historical bias
D+2.89
Represented cycles
132000–2025
Current archive
24canonical records
History span
Oct 19, 2000through Oct 20, 2025
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
GQR (D)
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2000 · 2002 · 2004 · 2006 · 2008 · 2009 · 2010 · 2012 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2022 · 2025

59 eligible historical polls across 13 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 24 total

Race

HOU-PA-01

Fitzpatrick +1

Brian Fitzpatrick 49% · Bob Harvie 48%

Field dates
Aug 19–Aug 23, 2026
Sample
400 LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Race

HOU-FL-13

Luna +3

Don't know 6% · Tony D’Arrigo 4% · Anna Paulina Luna 47% · Leela Gray 44%

Field dates
Aug 4–Aug 6, 2026
Sample
500 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Alme +14

Kurt Alme 41% · Alani Bankhead 22% · Seth Bodnar 27% · Kyle Austin 6%

Field dates
Jul 23–Jul 26, 2026
Sample
500 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Bodnar +4

Kyle Austin 11% · Seth Bodnar 44% · Kurt Alme 40%

Field dates
Jul 23–Jul 26, 2026
Sample
500 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Alme +4

Kyle Austin 13% · Alani Bankhead 40% · Kurt Alme 44%

Field dates
Jul 23–Jul 26, 2026
Sample
500 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Bodnar +6

Seth Bodnar 50% · Kurt Alme 44%

Field dates
Jul 23–Jul 26, 2026
Sample
500 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Alme +8

Alani Bankhead 44% · Kurt Alme 52%

Field dates
Jul 23–Jul 26, 2026
Sample
500 LV
Sponsor / client
Contours Inc.
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Race

HOU-SC-01

Honeycutt +2

Nancy Lacore 48% · Jenny Costa Honeycutt 50%

Field dates
Jul 15–Jul 22, 2026
Sample
Not reported LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Race

HOU-SC-01

Honeycutt +2

Someone else 1% · Margo Ellis 2% · Bill Reeside 5% · Nancy Lacore 41% · Jenny Costa Honeycutt 43%

Field dates
Jul 15–Jul 22, 2026
Sample
Not reported LV
Sponsor / client
House Majority PAC
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Race

HOU-NC-01

Davis +4

Don't know 8% · Laurie Buckhout 41% · Don Davis 45%

Field dates
Jun 22–Jun 28, 2026
Sample
500 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
Race

HOU-KY-06

Alvarado +3

Don't know 19% · Ralph Alvarado 42% · Zach Dembo 39%

Field dates
Jun 24–Jun 28, 2026
Sample
Not reported LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
Democratic-sponsored
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

9 shown · 59 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
20022002_Sen-G_SDSen-G2002-10-23553D+2.0D+0.2D+1.8
20022002_House-G_USHouse-G2002-10-231,001D+3.0R+5.0D+8.0
20022002_Sen-G_NHSen-G2002-10-16500D+2.0R+4.4D+6.4
20002000_Pres-G_USPres-G2000-10-311,0160D+0.5R+0.5
20002000_House-G_USHouse-G2000-10-311,016D+5.0R+0.4D+5.4
20002000_Pres-G_USPres-G2000-10-25998D+2.0D+0.5D+1.5
20002000_House-G_USHouse-G2000-10-25998D+5.0R+0.4D+5.4
20002000_Pres-G_USPres-G2000-10-19832D+1.0D+0.5D+0.5
20002000_Pres-G_USPres-G2000-10-191,009D+2.5D+0.5D+2.0

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.