Call
the Map
FORECAST54 DAYS OUT
← Pollster performanceFilter the Full Poll Archive →
Pollster file

Emerson College

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
230
Mean absolute error
4.19percentage points
Historical bias
D+0.37
Represented cycles
112013–2025
Current archive
141canonical records
History span
Jun 20, 2013through Oct 31, 2025
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
Emerson · Emerson College (D)
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
2013 · 2014 · 2016 · 2017 · 2018 · 2019 · 2020 · 2021 · 2022 · 2024 · 2025

230 eligible historical polls across 11 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 141 total

Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +10.1

Dem 50.3% · Rep 40.2%

Field dates
Apr 24–Apr 26, 2026
Sample
1,000 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Donalds +4.8

David Jolly 39.4% · Byron Donalds 44.2%

Field dates
Mar 29–Mar 31, 2026
Sample
1,125 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Moody +7.9

Ashley Moody 45.9% · Alexander Vindman 38%

Field dates
Mar 29–Mar 31, 2026
Sample
1,125 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Pappas +1.6

Chris Pappas 45.3% · John Sununu 43.7%

Field dates
Mar 21–Mar 23, 2026
Sample
1,100 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Platner +7.2

Susan Collins 40.6% · Graham Platner 47.8%

Field dates
Mar 21–Mar 23, 2026
Sample
1,075 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Mills +3.7

Susan Collins 42.5% · Janet Mills 46.2%

Field dates
Mar 21–Mar 23, 2026
Sample
1,075 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Disapprove +9.5

Approve 41.9% · Disapprove 51.4%

Field dates
Mar 16–Mar 17, 2026
Sample
1,000 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Ossoff +7.5

Jon Ossoff 48.9% · Derek Dooley 41.4%

Field dates
Feb 28–Mar 2, 2026
Sample
1,000 LV
Sponsor / client
Nexstar Media/WGN-TV
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Ossoff +4.4

Jon Ossoff 47.7% · Mike Collins 43.3%

Field dates
Feb 28–Mar 2, 2026
Sample
1,000 LV
Sponsor / client
Nexstar Media/WGN-TV
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Senate · D primary

Texas · Senate

Talarico +5.6

Jasmine Crockett 46.5% · James Talarico 52.1% · Ahmad Hassan 1.4%

Field dates
Feb 26–Feb 27, 2026
Sample
Not reported LV
Sponsor / client
Nexstar Media
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Disapprove +12

Approve 42.7% · Disapprove 54.7%

Field dates
Feb 21–Feb 22, 2026
Sample
1,000 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +8

Dem 50.4% · Rep 42.4%

Field dates
Feb 21–Feb 22, 2026
Sample
1,000 LV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

50 shown · 230 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
2025VA · GovernorGov-G2025-10-31—D+11.0D+15.4R+4.4
2025VA · Attorney generalAG-G2025-10-31—D+2.0D+6.7R+4.7
2025NJ · GovernorGov-G2025-10-28—D+2.0D+14.4R+12.4
2024WI · PresidentPres-G2024-11-02—0R+0.9D+0.9
2024PA · PresidentPres-G2024-11-02—R+1.0R+1.7D+0.7
2024NV · PresidentPres-G2024-11-02—0R+3.1D+3.1
2024NC · PresidentPres-G2024-11-02—R+1.0R+3.2D+2.2
2024MI · PresidentPres-G2024-11-02—D+2.0R+1.4D+3.4
2024IA · PresidentPres-G2024-11-02—R+10.0R+13.2D+3.2
2024GA · PresidentPres-G2024-11-02—R+1.0R+2.2D+1.2
2024AZ · PresidentPres-G2024-11-02—R+2.0R+5.5D+3.5
2024NV · PresidentPres-G2024-10-31—D+1.0R+3.1D+4.1
2024MI · PresidentPres-G2024-10-27—R+1.0R+1.4D+0.4
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-24—0R+1.5D+1.5
2024WI · PresidentPres-G2024-10-22—R+1.0R+0.9R+0.1
2024PA · PresidentPres-G2024-10-22—R+1.0R+1.7D+0.7
2024NC · PresidentPres-G2024-10-22—R+2.0R+3.2D+1.2
2024national · PresidentPres-G2024-10-16—D+1.0R+1.5D+2.5
20222022_Sen-GR_GASen-G2022-11-29888D+1.6D+2.8R+1.2
20222022_Sen-G_ORSen-G2022-11-01975D+17.0D+14.9D+2.1
20222022_Gov-G_ORGov-G2022-11-01975D+5.5D+3.4D+2.1
20222022_Sen-G_OHSen-G2022-10-311,000R+8.9R+6.1R+2.8
20222022_Sen-G_NHSen-G2022-10-31850D+4.5D+9.1R+4.6
20222022_Sen-G_AZSen-G2022-10-311,000R+0.4D+4.9R+5.3
20222022_Gov-G_OHGov-G2022-10-311,000R+20.8R+25.0D+4.2
20222022_Gov-G_NHGov-G2022-10-31850R+20.8R+15.6R+5.2
20222022_Gov-G_AZGov-G2022-10-311,000R+3.5D+0.7R+4.2
20222022_Sen-G_PASen-G2022-10-301,000R+1.1D+4.9R+6.0
20222022_Sen-G_NYSen-G2022-10-301,000D+18.5D+14.0D+4.5
20222022_Sen-G_GASen-G2022-10-301,000D+1.9D+1.0D+0.9
20222022_Gov-G_PAGov-G2022-10-301,000D+10.4D+14.8R+4.4
20222022_Gov-G_NYGov-G2022-10-301,000D+8.7D+6.4D+2.3
20222022_Gov-G_MIGov-G2022-10-30900D+5.1D+10.5R+5.4
20222022_Gov-G_GAGov-G2022-10-301,000R+5.6R+7.5D+1.9
20222022_Sen-G_WISen-G2022-10-281,000R+4.6R+1.0R+3.6
20222022_Sen-G_NVSen-G2022-10-282,000R+5.2D+0.8R+6.0
20222022_Sen-G_NCSen-G2022-10-281,000R+5.7R+3.2R+2.5
20222022_Sen-G_KSSen-G2022-10-281,000R+21.6R+23.0D+1.4
20222022_Sen-G_COSen-G2022-10-281,000D+8.1D+14.6R+6.5
20222022_House-G_NV-4House-G2022-10-28480D+3.3D+4.8R+1.5
20222022_House-G_NV-3House-G2022-10-28510R+4.2D+4.0R+8.2
20222022_House-G_NV-2House-G2022-10-28530R+25.7R+21.9R+3.8
20222022_House-G_NV-1House-G2022-10-28480R+11.6D+5.6R+17.2
20222022_Gov-G_WIGov-G2022-10-281,000R+1.9D+3.4R+5.3
20222022_Gov-G_NVGov-G2022-10-282,000R+4.0R+1.5R+2.5
20222022_Gov-G_KSGov-G2022-10-281,000D+4.6D+2.2D+2.4
20222022_Gov-G_COGov-G2022-10-281,000D+13.4D+19.4R+6.0
20222022_Sen-G_OKSen-G2022-10-271,000R+27.3R+32.2D+4.9
20222022_Sen-G_MOSen-G2022-10-271,000R+13.5R+13.3R+0.2
20222022_Sen-GS_OKSen-G2022-10-271,000R+22.6R+26.5D+3.9

5 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (NYC-G · Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.