Don't know 6% · Michael Dublin 0% · Shannon Bray 1% · Michael Whatley 43% · Roy Cooper 50%
- Field dates
- Sep 30–Oct 3, 2026
- Sample
- 810 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Pollster file
East Carolina University Center for Survey Research
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 13
- Mean absolute error
- 3.61percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+1.63
- Represented cycles
- 32020–2024
- Current archive
- 2canonical records
- History span
- Oct 17, 2020through Oct 31, 2024
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- East Carolina University
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2020 · 2022 · 2024
13 eligible historical polls across 3 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
2 shown · 2 total
Someone else 1% · Michael Dublin 0.9% · Shannon Bray 2.7% · Michael Whatley 43.6% · Roy Cooper 51.7%
- Field dates
- Aug 31–Sep 3, 2026
- Sample
- 675 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
13 shown · 13 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GA · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-31 | — | R+1.0 | R+2.2 | D+1.2 |
| 2024 | NC · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-29 | — | R+2.0 | R+3.2 | D+1.2 |
| 2022 | GA · Senate | Sen-G | 2022-11-04 | 1,077 | 0 | D+1.0 | R+1.0 |
| 2022 | GA · Governor | Gov-G | 2022-11-04 | 1,077 | R+8.0 | R+7.5 | R+0.5 |
| 2022 | NC · Senate | Sen-G | 2022-11-02 | 1,183 | R+4.9 | R+3.2 | R+1.7 |
| 2020 | NC · Senate | Sen-G | 2020-10-28 | 1,103 | D+1.5 | R+1.8 | D+3.3 |
| 2020 | NC · President | Pres-G | 2020-10-28 | 1,103 | D+2.7 | R+1.4 | D+4.1 |
| 2020 | NC · Governor | Gov-G | 2020-10-28 | 1,103 | D+11.0 | D+4.5 | D+6.5 |
| 2020 | SC · Senate | Sen-G | 2020-10-25 | 763 | R+1.8 | R+10.3 | D+8.4 |
| 2020 | SC · President | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 763 | R+7.7 | R+11.7 | D+4.0 |
| 2020 | NC · Senate | Sen-G | 2020-10-17 | 1,155 | D+1.4 | R+1.8 | D+3.1 |
| 2020 | NC · President | Pres-G | 2020-10-17 | 1,155 | D+3.2 | R+1.4 | D+4.5 |
| 2020 | NC · Governor | Gov-G | 2020-10-17 | 1,155 | D+12.1 | D+4.5 | D+7.6 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.