Would not vote 6% · Someone else 10% · Mike Lawler 38% · Kathy Hochul 46%
- Field dates
- Jan 30–Feb 10, 2025
- Sample
- 1,000 RV
- Sponsor / client
- Unite NY
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Pollster file
Citizen Data
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 12
- Mean absolute error
- 7.04percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+3.52
- Represented cycles
- 12020
- Current archive
- 1canonical records
- History span
- Oct 19, 2020through Oct 19, 2020
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2020
All 12 eligible historical polls come from one cycle, so this record does not yet describe performance across elections.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
1 shown · 1 total
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
12 shown · 12 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-OS_GA | Sen-G | 2020-10-19 | 1,000 | D+17.6 | D+7.0 | D+10.6 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_TX | Sen-G | 2020-10-19 | 1,000 | R+0.2 | R+9.6 | D+9.4 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_NC | Sen-G | 2020-10-19 | 1,000 | D+6.1 | R+1.8 | D+7.9 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_MI | Sen-G | 2020-10-19 | 1,000 | D+3.5 | D+1.7 | D+1.9 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_GA | Sen-G | 2020-10-19 | 1,000 | D+6.9 | R+1.8 | D+8.6 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_TX | Pres-G | 2020-10-19 | 1,000 | D+3.9 | R+5.6 | D+9.5 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_PA | Pres-G | 2020-10-19 | 1,000 | D+5.3 | D+1.2 | D+4.2 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2020-10-19 | 1,000 | R+1.2 | R+8.0 | D+6.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_NC | Pres-G | 2020-10-19 | 1,000 | D+6.5 | R+1.4 | D+7.9 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_MI | Pres-G | 2020-10-19 | 1,000 | D+8.1 | D+2.8 | D+5.4 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_GA | Pres-G | 2020-10-19 | 1,000 | D+4.4 | D+0.2 | D+4.2 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_FL | Pres-G | 2020-10-19 | 1,000 | D+4.9 | R+3.4 | D+8.3 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.