Governor
Donalds +8Florida · Governor
David Jolly 39% · Byron Donalds 47%
- Field dates
- May 1–May 9, 2026
- Sample
- 604 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Florida Chamber of Commerce
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Pollster file
Cherry Communications
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 5
- Mean absolute error
- 6.36percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+0.27
- Represented cycles
- 32014–2022
- Current archive
- 3canonical records
- History span
- Oct 28, 2014through Oct 18, 2022
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- Cherry Communications (R)
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2014 · 2016 · 2022
5 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
3 shown · 3 total
Jerry Demings 39% · Byron Donalds 48%
- Field dates
- May 1–May 9, 2026
- Sample
- 604 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Florida Chamber of Commerce
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Senate
Moody +8Florida · Senate
Alexander Vindman 40% · Ashley Moody 48%
- Field dates
- May 1–May 9, 2026
- Sample
- 604 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Florida Chamber of Commerce
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
5 shown · 5 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_FL | Gov-G | 2022-10-18 | 601 | R+11.0 | R+19.4 | D+8.4 |
| 2016 | 2016_House-G_FL-7 | House-G | 2016-10-22 | 412 | R+5.0 | D+3.0 | R+8.0 |
| 2016 | 2016_Sen-G_FL | Sen-G | 2016-10-18 | 507 | R+14.0 | R+7.7 | R+6.3 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_FL | Pres-G | 2016-10-18 | 507 | D+4.0 | R+1.2 | D+5.2 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_FL | Gov-G | 2014-10-28 | 508 | R+5.0 | R+1.1 | R+3.9 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.