Would not vote 11% · Don't know 18% · Ken Calvert 33% · Young Kim 32%
- Field dates
- Jul 8–Jul 12, 2026
- Sample
- Not reported LV
- Sponsor / client
- California First Fund
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Pollster file
American Viewpoint
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 8
- Mean absolute error
- 4.16percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+1.42
- Represented cycles
- 42000–2018
- Current archive
- 1canonical records
- History span
- Oct 20, 2000through Oct 17, 2018
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2000 · 2002 · 2014 · 2018
8 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
1 shown · 1 total
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
8 shown · 8 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | AZ-1 · House | House-G | 2018-10-17 | 400 | 0 | D+7.7 | R+7.7 |
| 2018 | IN · Senate | Sen-G | 2018-10-16 | 800 | R+4.0 | R+5.9 | D+1.9 |
| 2014 | CA-31 · House | House-G | 2014-10-20 | 500 | D+4.0 | D+3.5 | D+0.5 |
| 2002 | MO · Senate | Sen-G | 2002-10-28 | 600 | R+7.0 | R+1.1 | R+5.9 |
| 2002 | WA-2 · House | House-G | 2002-10-22 | 300 | R+3.0 | D+4.3 | R+7.3 |
| 2002 | MO · Senate | Sen-G | 2002-10-16 | 600 | R+8.0 | R+1.1 | R+6.9 |
| 2000 | national · President | Pres-G | 2000-10-20 | 800 | R+2.0 | D+0.5 | R+2.5 |
| 2000 | national · House | House-G | 2000-10-20 | 800 | R+1.0 | R+0.4 | R+0.6 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.