Call
the Map
FORECAST55 DAYS OUT
Race polling · SEN-NE

Nebraska Senate polls

Democrat (D) vs Pete Ricketts (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Adjusted aggregateD+0.1same figure as the race page
Polls66 recorded polls · 6 eligible for the aggregate · 3 with positive weight
Latest field dateAug 13Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-08-13 (27 days old)
EditionSep 9weights and corrections as of this edition

The polls the model reads

hover, tap or Tab to any poll
last 30 daysR+5EVEND+5D+10Apr ’25JulOctJan ’26AprJul
  • counted poll · area is its model weight
  • weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
  • trailing 30-day average
  • published average
  • 30 days before this edition

Every poll on file · 4

newest first

4 in the aggregate · 0 shown, not counted

PollsterFieldedSampleResultWeightSource
Impact ResearchGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan600 LVDan Osborn 47Pete Ricketts 47Don't know 50.195Poll release
Tavern ResearchGeneral · IND sponsor · IND partisan1,165 LVPete Ricketts 50William J. Forbes 34Don't know 16+4 other releases0.007Poll release
Impact ResearchGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan600 LVPete Ricketts 48Dan Osborn 470.000Poll release
Change ResearchGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan524 LVPete Ricketts 46Dan Osborn 45Don't know 8Would not vote 10 · not countedPoll release

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.