TX-15 House polls 2026
Bobby Pulido (D) vs Monica De La Cruz (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
The polls and the poll average
drag or tap for a day · tap a dot for its pollOct 28, 2026D+7.0today's poll average of 6 polls
- poll in the average · area is its weight
- trend through the counted polls · ends on today's average
The line is a trend, not the average as it stood each day: the same polls and weights, with each poll leaning in smoothly over the weeks before its date. It starts at the first counted poll and ends on today's average.
Data table
| Days | Average as it stood | Trend line |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | D+7.0 | D+7.0 |
| Oct 16–Oct 27, 2026 | D+7.0 | D+7.0 |
| Sep 28–Oct 15, 2026 | D+7.0 | D+7.0 |
| Aug 22–Sep 27, 2026 | D+4.7 | D+4.7 to D+6.9 |
| Jul 27–Aug 21, 2026 | D+4.4 | D+4.4 to D+4.7 |
| May 25–Jul 26, 2026 | D+1.8 | D+1.8 to D+4.4 |
| Sep 11–May 24, 2026 | R+3.0 | R+3.0 to D+1.8 |
In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at D+6.3.
Every poll on file · 10
newest added first6 in the poll average · 4 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Texas Southern UniversityGeneral | 600 LV | D+7.0Bobby Pulido 51Monica De La Cruz 44 | 7d ago | 0.58 | Poll release | |
| Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterGeneral · House | — LV | D+7.0Bobby Pulido 51Monica De La Cruz 44 | 7d ago | source not read by the model | Poll release | |
| Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterGeneral | — LV | D+7.0Bobby Pulido 51Monica De La Cruz 44Don't know 5 | no sample size published | Poll release | ||
| ●Normington, Petts & AssociatesGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 400 LV | D+13.0Bobby Pulido 54Monica De La Cruz 41+1 other release | 0.38 | Pollster post | ||
| Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterGeneral · House | 700 LV | D+5.0Bobby Pulido 50Monica De La Cruz 45 | source not read by the model | Poll document | ||
| ●Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterGeneral | 700 LV | D+5.0Bobby Pulido 50Monica De La Cruz 45Don't know 5 | 0.33 | Poll document | ||
| ●Normington PettsGeneral · D sponsor · D partisan | 553 LV | D+6.0Bobby Pulido 51Monica De La Cruz 45 | 0.22 | Poll release | ||
| Normington, Petts & AssociatesGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | — LV | D+2.0Generic Democrat 48Generic Republican 46+1 other release | no sample size published | Poll release | ||
| ●Public Policy PollingGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 533 LV | R+3.0Monica De La Cruz 41Bobby Pulido 38+1 other release | 0.01 | Poll document | ||
| ●ApplecartGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 802 LV | D+2.0Bobby Pulido 48Monica De La Cruz 46Don't know 6+1 other release | 0.13 | Poll release |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.