FL-9 House polls
Darren Soto (D) vs Dan Green (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Adjusted aggregateTiedsame figure as the race page
Polls11 recorded poll · 1 eligible for the aggregate · 1 with positive weight
Latest field dateAug 30Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-08-30 (10 days old)
EditionSep 9weights and corrections as of this edition
The polls the model reads
hover, tap or Tab to any poll- counted poll · area is its model weight
- weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
- trailing 30-day average
- published average
- 30 days before this edition
Every poll on file · 1
newest first1 in the aggregate · 0 shown, not counted · 1 primary poll on file, not listed here
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●SEA PollingGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 400 LV | Dan Green 41Darren Soto 41Don't know 18 | 0.221 | Poll release |
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.