FL-9 House polls
Darren Soto (D) vs Dan Green (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageTiedthe polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls22 on file · 2 in the poll average
Latest field dateOct 15Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-15 (9 days old)
EditionOct 23the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
2 polls countedThe poll average, Tied, is of two polls, all at Tied. That is too few to draw a trend through, so they are listed below, each with its weight.
The forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at R+2.0.
Every poll on file · 2
newest first2 in the poll average · 1 primary poll on file, not listed here
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●SEA PollingGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | — LV | TiedDan Green 44Darren Soto 44Don't know 11 | 4d ago | 0.61 | Poll release | |
| ●SEA PollingGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 400 LV | TiedDan Green 41Darren Soto 41Don't know 18 | 0.29 | Poll release |
Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.