CA-40 House polls 2026
The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
How the forecast reads these polls
the same figures as the race pageBoth candidates are of one party, so the forecast splits the vote between them by the plain average of the 3 polls below of these two candidates: Young Kim 51.5% and Ken Calvert 48.5%.
This race has no Democrat-versus-Republican poll average. The forecast reads the polls below that named every candidate.
Every poll on file · 4
newest added first4 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grassroots TargetingGeneral · House · REP sponsor · REP partisan · for California First Fund | from Sep 5 | 800 LV | Young Kim 43Ken Calvert 34+1 other releaseevery candidate namedYoung Kim 55.8Ken Calvert 44.2 | not in the average | News coverage | |
| Public Opinion StrategiesGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan | from Aug 17 | 400 LV | Ken Calvert 35Young Kim 34Don't know 19Would not vote 10every candidate namedYoung Kim 49.3Ken Calvert 50.7 | not in the average | Poll document | |
| American ViewpointGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan · for California First Fund | from Jul 8 | — LV | Ken Calvert 33Young Kim 32Don't know 18Would not vote 11every candidate namedYoung Kim 49.2Ken Calvert 50.8 | not in the average | Poll release | |
| Tulchin ResearchGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 800 LV | Young Kim 44Esther Kim-Varet 43Don't know 13+1 other release | not in the average | Poll document |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.