CA-22 House polls 2026
Randy Villegas (D) vs David Valadao (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Poll averageD+4.0the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls22 on file · 1 in the poll average · 1 not counted
Latest field dateJun 21Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-06-21 (129 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition
The poll average
one poll countedThe poll average is one poll: Tulchin Research, fielded through Jun 21, 2026, at D+4.0. With a single poll there is no trend to draw; it is listed below.
In House races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at D+2.0.
Every poll on file · 2
newest added first1 in the poll average · 1 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Tulchin ResearchGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 800 LV | D+4.0Randy Villegas 48David Valadao 44+1 other release | 0.17 | News coverage | ||
| Public Policy PollingGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 547 A | David Valadao 42Jasmeet Bains 42 | not in the average | Poll release |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.