CA-11 House polls 2026
The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
How the forecast reads these polls
the same figures as the race pageBoth candidates are of one party, so the forecast splits the vote between them by the plain average of the 3 polls below of these two candidates: Scott Wiener 54.5% and Connie Chan 45.5%.
This race has no Democrat-versus-Republican poll average. The forecast reads the polls below that named every candidate.
Every poll on file · 4
newest added first4 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC Democracy and Fair Elections LabGeneral | from Oct 16 | 454 LV | Scott Wiener 51Connie Chan 44Would not vote 5every candidate namedScott Wiener 53.7Connie Chan 46.3 | 7d ago | not in the average | Poll release |
| Tavern ResearchGeneral · House · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan · for Jobs and Democracy PAC | from Sep 15 | 658 LV | Scott Wiener 45Connie Chan 34+1 other releaseevery candidate namedScott Wiener 57.0Connie Chan 43.0 | not in the average | News coverage | |
| Lake Research PartnersGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | from Jul 14 | 500 LV | Scott Wiener 45Connie Chan 40Don't know 11every candidate namedScott Wiener 52.9Connie Chan 47.1 | not in the average | News coverage | |
| Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. ResearchGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 600 RV | Nancy Pelosi 47Saikat Chakrabarti 34Don't know 19 | not in the average | News coverage |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.