Wisconsin Governor polls 2026
David Crowley (D) vs Tom Tiffany (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
The polls and the poll average
drag or tap for a day · tap a dot for its pollOct 28, 2026D+3.9today's poll average of 11 polls
- poll in the average · area is its weight
- trend through the counted polls · ends on today's average
The line is a trend, not the average as it stood each day: the same polls and weights, with each poll leaning in smoothly over the weeks before its date. It starts at the first counted poll and ends on today's average.
Data table
| Days | Average as it stood | Trend line |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026 | D+3.9 | D+3.9 |
| Oct 23–Oct 27, 2026 | D+3.9 | D+3.9 |
| Oct 22, 2026 | D+4.1 | D+3.9 |
| Oct 9–Oct 21, 2026 | D+3.8 | D+3.8 to D+3.9 |
| Oct 1–Oct 8, 2026 | D+3.8 | D+3.8 |
| Sep 23–Sep 30, 2026 | D+3.4 | D+3.6 to D+3.8 |
| Aug 20–Sep 22, 2026 | D+3.6 | D+3.6 to D+3.5 |
| Aug 18–Aug 19, 2026 | D+3.2 | D+3.6 |
| Aug 13–Aug 17, 2026 | D+3.2 | D+3.5 to D+3.6 |
| Aug 3–Aug 12, 2026 | D+2.8 | D+2.9 to D+3.4 |
| Jul 24–Aug 2, 2026 | D+2.7 | D+2.7 to D+2.9 |
| Mar 19–Jul 23, 2026 | D+1.5 | D+1.5 to D+2.7 |
In governor races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at D+4.2.
Every poll on file · 17
newest added first11 in the poll average · 6 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Added | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●WickGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 1,213 LV | D+3.1David Crowley 47.7Tom Tiffany 44.6Don't know 7.7 | 52m ago | 0.89 | Poll release | |
| ●Marquette University Law SchoolGeneral | 668 LV | D+7.0David Crowley 53Tom Tiffany 46Don't know 1+1 other release | 9h ago | 0.66 | Poll release | |
| ●YouGovGeneral · OTH sponsor · OTH partisan | 1,715 RV | D+4.0David Crowley 46Tom Tiffany 42Don't know 9Would not vote 2 | 0.80 | Poll release | ||
| ●Z to A ResearchGeneral · Governor · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 662 LV | D+5.0David Crowley 49Tom Tiffany 44 | 0.51 | Pollster post | ||
| ●Marquette University Law SchoolGeneral | 692 LV | D+3.0David Crowley 49Tom Tiffany 46Don't know 5+1 other release | 0.48 | Poll release | ||
| ●Marquette University Law SchoolGeneral | 738 LV | D+5.0David Crowley 49Tom Tiffany 44Don't know 7+1 other release | 0.33 | Poll release | ||
| ●TIPP InsightsGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 1,187 LV | D+3.4David Crowley 46.74Tom Tiffany 43.39Don't know 5.61Someone else 4.26+2 other releases | 0.41 | Poll release | ||
| ●Platform CommunicationsGeneral · Governor | 500 LV | D+4.0David Crowley 48Tom Tiffany 44 | 0.25 | Poll document | ||
| ●GBAOGeneral · Governor · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan | 800 LV | D+3.0David Crowley 47Tom Tiffany 44 | 0.29 | News coverage | ||
| ●RMG ResearchGeneral · Governor | 800 RV | Francesca Hong 44Tom Tiffany 43+3 other releases | 0.25 | Poll release | ||
| Marquette University Law SchoolGeneral · Governor | 695 LV | Tom Tiffany 44Kelda Roys 42+9 other releases | tests a different matchup | Poll document | ||
| The Public Sentiment InstituteGeneral · Governor · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 877 LV | Francesca Hong 41Tom Tiffany 40+3 other releases | pushed or reallocated variant | Pollster post |
Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.