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FORECAST51 DAYS OUT
Race polling · GOV-WI

Wisconsin Governor polls

David Crowley (D) vs Tom Tiffany (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Adjusted aggregateD+3.7same figure as the race page
Polls66 recorded polls · 6 eligible for the aggregate · 6 with positive weight
Latest field dateAug 20Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-08-20 (24 days old)
EditionSep 13weights and corrections as of this edition

The polls the model reads

hover, tap or Tab to any poll
last 30 daysR+5EVEND+5D+10Apr ’26MayJunJulAugSep
  • counted poll · area is its model weight
  • weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
  • poll trend · smoothed across nearby polls, larger and non-partisan ones count more · the recent end firms up as polls arrive
  • published average
  • 30 days before this edition

Every poll on file · 13

newest first

6 in the aggregate · 7 shown, not counted · 24 primary polls on file, not listed here

PollsterFieldedAddedSampleResultWeightSource
Marquette University Law SchoolGeneral · Governor738 LVDavid Crowley 49Tom Tiffany 44+3 other releases0.459Poll release
TIPP InsightsGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan1,187 LVDavid Crowley 46.74Tom Tiffany 43.39Don't know 5.61Someone else 4.26+3 other releases0.555Poll release
Platform CommunicationsGeneral · Governor500 LVDavid Crowley 48Tom Tiffany 440.180Poll document
GBAOGeneral · Governor · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan800 LVDavid Crowley 47Tom Tiffany 44+1 other release0.172News coverage
RMG ResearchGeneral · Governor800 RVFrancesca Hong 44Tom Tiffany 43+6 other releases0.107Poll release
Marquette University Law SchoolGeneral · Governor695 LVTom Tiffany 44Kelda Roys 42+12 other releasesnot in the aggregatePoll document
Wedgewood PollsGeneral707 LVSara Rodriguez 47Tom Tiffany 42Don't know 11+2 other releasesnot in the aggregatePoll document
The Public Sentiment InstituteGeneral · Governor · REP sponsor · REP partisan877 LVFrancesca Hong 41Tom Tiffany 40+3 other releasesnot in the aggregatePollster post
RMG ResearchGeneral800 RVGeneric Democrat 50Generic Republican 43Don't know 6Would not vote 1not in the aggregatePoll release
TIPP InsightsGeneral · Governor · REP sponsor · REP partisan1,175 LVSara Rodriguez 44Tom Tiffany 41+15 other releases0.004Poll release
Patriot PollingGeneral · Governor · REP sponsor · REP partisan812 LVTom Tiffany 46Francesca Hong 42+1 other releasenot in the aggregatePoll document
Impact ResearchGeneral · Governor500 LVMandela Barnes 50Tom Tiffany 44+2 other releasesnot in the aggregatePoll document

Archive source date 2026-09-13. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.