Race polling · GOV-VT

Vermont Governor polls 2026

Amanda Janoo (D) vs Phil Scott (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Poll averageR+4.5the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page

Polls66 on file · 6 in the poll average

Latest field dateOct 25Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-25 (3 days old)

EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition

The polls and the poll average

drag or tap for a day · tap a dot for its poll

Oct 28, 2026R+4.5today's poll average of 6 polls

poll in the average · area is its weight
trend through the counted polls · ends on today's average

The line is a trend, not the average as it stood each day: the same polls and weights, with each poll leaning in smoothly over the weeks before its date. It starts at the first counted poll and ends on today's average.

Data table

The poll average as the edition published it for each stretch of days, and the trend line drawn over the same days.
Days	Average as it stood	Trend line
Oct 28, 2026	R+4.5	R+4.5
Oct 25–Oct 27, 2026	R+4.5	R+4.5
Oct 4–Oct 24, 2026	R+4.8	R+4.8 to R+4.5
Sep 21–Oct 3, 2026	R+5.9	R+5.9 to R+4.8
Jul 20–Sep 20, 2026	R+12.7	R+12.7 to R+5.9
Jun 23–Jul 19, 2026	R+15.0	R+15.0 to R+12.7

In governor races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which leaves the average it reads the same for this race.

Every poll on file · 6

newest added first

6 in the poll average · 2 primary polls on file, not listed here

Pollster	Fielded	Sample	Result	Added	Weight	Source
●State NavigateGeneral	Oct 25, 2026	1,752 LV	R+3.0Phil Scott 49Amanda Janoo 46Don't know 3Someone else 2	Oct 271d ago	0.97	Poll release
●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral	Sep 21, 2026	829 LV	D+6.0Amanda Janoo 49Phil Scott 43Don't know 6Brian Judd 2Someone else 0Dean Roy 0June Goodband 0	Oct 15	0.51	Poll release
●State NavigateGeneral	Oct 4, 2026	948 LV	R+3.0Phil Scott 46Amanda Janoo 43Don't know 8Someone else 4	Oct 7	0.64	Poll release
●Braun ResearchGeneral	Sep 21, 2026	732 LV	R+9.3Phil Scott 43.73Amanda Janoo 34.43Don't know 15.95None/other 2.46Brian Judd 1.92Dean Roy 1.05June Goodband 0.47+1 other release	Sep 28	0.48	Poll release
●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral	Jul 20, 2026	925 LV	R+11.0Phil Scott 44Amanda Janoo 33Don't know 17Someone else 4June Goodband 2Dean Roy 0+2 other releases	Jul 21	0.26	Poll release
●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral	Jun 23, 2026	867 LV	Phil Scott 41Don't know 26Aly Richards 25June Goodband 6Someone else 1Dean Roy 1+2 other releases	Jun 30	0.18	Poll release

Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.