Tennessee Governor polls
Jerri Green (D) vs Marsha Blackburn (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Adjusted aggregateR+22.7same figure as the race page
Polls33 recorded polls · 3 eligible for the aggregate · 3 with positive weight
Latest field dateAug 26Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-08-26 (14 days old)
EditionSep 9weights and corrections as of this edition
The polls the model reads
hover, tap or Tab to any poll- counted poll · area is its model weight
- weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
- trailing 30-day average
- published average
- 30 days before this edition
Every poll on file · 4
newest first3 in the aggregate · 1 shown, not counted · 15 primary polls on file, not listed here
| Pollster | Fielded | Sample | Result | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●Targoz Market ResearchGeneral | 601 LV | Marsha Blackburn 55Jerri Green 34Generic Candidate 7Don't know 4+2 other releases | 0.309 | Poll release | |
| ●Targoz Market ResearchGeneral | 1,157 RV | Marsha Blackburn 51Jerri Green 27Don't know/Someone else 22+1 other release | 0.008 | Poll document | |
| ●Quantus InsightsGeneral | 600 RV | Marsha Blackburn 49Jerri Green 28Don't know 17Would not vote 7+2 other releases | 0.000 | Poll document | |
| Targoz Market ResearchGeneral | 1,173 RV | Marsha Blackburn 51Generic Democrat 32Don't know 17+1 other release | not in the aggregate | Poll document |
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.