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FORECAST51 DAYS OUT
Race polling · GOV-NE

Nebraska Governor polls

Lynne Walz (D) vs Jim Pillen (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Adjusted aggregateR+5.3same figure as the race page
Polls44 recorded polls · 4 eligible for the aggregate · 2 with positive weight
Latest field dateApr 29Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-04-29 (137 days old)
EditionSep 13weights and corrections as of this edition

The polls the model reads

hover, tap or Tab to any poll
last 30 daysR+15R+10R+5EVEND+5Sep ’25NovJan ’26MarMayJulSep
  • counted poll · area is its model weight
  • weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
  • poll trend · smoothed across nearby polls, larger and non-partisan ones count more · the recent end firms up as polls arrive
  • published average
  • 30 days before this edition

Every poll on file · 4

newest first

4 in the aggregate · 0 shown, not counted

PollsterFieldedAddedSampleResultWeightSource
Lake Research PartnersGeneral · D sponsor · D partisan900 LVJim Pillen 47Lynne Walz 450.009Poll document
Public Policy PollingGeneral · Governor · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan670 RVJim Pillen 38Lynne Walz 33+1 other release0.004Pollster post
Lake Research PartnersGeneral · D sponsor · D partisan900 LVJim Pillen 48Lynne Walz 430 · not countedPoll document
Lake Research PartnersGeneral · D sponsor · D partisan900 LVJim Pillen 51Lynne Walz 390 · not countedPoll document

Archive source date 2026-09-13. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.