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Forecast6 days out
Race polling · GOV-NE

Nebraska Governor polls 2026

Lynne Walz (D) vs Jim Pillen (R). The polls in the poll average, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Poll averageR+2.5the polls’ average, each as published · same figure as the race page
Polls1515 on file · 13 in the poll average · 2 not counted
Latest field dateOct 23Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-10-23 (5 days old)
EditionOct 28the poll average and its weights as of this edition

The polls and the poll average

drag or tap for a day · tap a dot for its poll

Oct 28, 2026R+2.5today's poll average of 13 polls

R+15R+10R+5EvenD+5May ’26JulSep
  • poll in the average · area is its weight
  • not counted · shown, never moves the line
  • trend through the counted polls · ends on today's average
  • left of the break: 2 earlier polls, not on the time axis

The line is a trend, not the average as it stood each day: the same polls and weights, with each poll leaning in smoothly over the weeks before its date. It starts at the first counted poll and ends on today's average.

Data table
The poll average as the edition published it for each stretch of days, and the trend line drawn over the same days.
DaysAverage as it stoodTrend line
Oct 28, 2026R+2.5R+2.5
Oct 23–Oct 27, 2026R+2.5R+2.5
Oct 18–Oct 22, 2026R+2.0R+2.4 to R+2.5
Oct 14–Oct 17, 2026R+2.9R+2.4
Oct 5–Oct 13, 2026R+2.9R+2.9 to R+2.4
Oct 3–Oct 4, 2026R+2.7R+2.9
Sep 30–Oct 2, 2026R+3.4R+2.9
Sep 14–Sep 29, 2026R+3.0R+3.0
Sep 13, 2026R+4.6R+3.1
Sep 2–Sep 12, 2026R+1.7R+2.2 to R+3.1
Apr 29–Sep 1, 2026R+3.2R+3.2 to R+2.0
Apr 7–Apr 28, 2026R+5.0R+5.0 to R+3.2

In governor races the forecast then counts a poll sponsored by a party or campaign at full weight and moves its margin 2 points against that party, which puts the average it reads at R+3.2.

Every poll on file · 15

newest added first

13 in the poll average · 2 shown, not counted

PollsterFieldedSampleResultAddedWeightSource
●Echelon InsightsGeneral407 LVR+7.0Jim Pillen 47Lynne Walz 40Rick Beard 7Brett Lindstrom 4Don't know 2Would not vote 0Someone else 01d ago0.52Poll release
●Concord Public Opinion PartnersGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan500 LVD+3.0Lynne Walz 43Jim Pillen 40Someone else 9Don't know 83d ago0.54Poll release
●National Public AffairsGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan598 LVR+6.0Jim Pillen 47Lynne Walz 41Brett Lindstrom 5Don't know 4Rick Beard 35d ago0.59Poll document
●Global Strategy GroupGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan800 LVR+1.0Jim Pillen 40Lynne Walz 39Rick Beard 5Brett Lindstrom 56d ago0.69Poll document
●Public Policy PollingGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan571 LVR+1.0Jim Pillen 44Lynne Walz 43Don't know 5Brett Lindstrom 5Rick Beard 3+1 other release0.55Poll release
●National Public AffairsGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan800 LVR+4.0Jim Pillen 44Lynne Walz 40Brett Lindstrom 7Rick Beard 5Don't know 40.59Poll document
●YouGovGeneral1,808 LVR+1.0Jim Pillen 44Lynne Walz 43Don't know 10Someone else 2Would not vote 10.75Poll document
●co/efficientGeneral1,113 LVR+4.0Jim Pillen 42Lynne Walz 38Don't know 11Brett Lindstrom 6Rick Beard 40.66Poll release
●Lake Research PartnersGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan900 LVTiedJim Pillen 40Lynne Walz 40Brett Lindstrom 9Don't know 5Rick Beard 40.49Poll release
●Public Policy PollingGeneral · DEM sponsor · DEM partisan559 RVR+1.0Jim Pillen 32Lynne Walz 31Don't know 17Brett Lindstrom 10Rick Beard 7Generic Nebraska Working People Party 40.34Poll document
●SurveyUSAGeneral503 LVR+8.0Jim Pillen 43Lynne Walz 35Someone else 13Don't know 90.36Poll release
●Lake Research PartnersGeneral · D sponsor · D partisan900 LVR+2.0Jim Pillen 47Lynne Walz 450.10Poll document

Poll archive as of October 29, 2026. It can hold polls newer than the forecast; a poll listed here is not necessarily in it.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.