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FORECAST55 DAYS OUT
Race polling · GOV-MN

Minnesota Governor polls

Amy Klobuchar (D) vs Lisa Demuth (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.

Adjusted aggregateD+12.9same figure as the race page
Polls55 recorded polls · 5 eligible for the aggregate · 5 with positive weight
Latest field dateSep 2Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-09-02 (7 days old)
EditionSep 9weights and corrections as of this edition

The polls the model reads

hover, tap or Tab to any poll
last 30 daysR+5EVEND+5D+10D+15D+20Mar ’26MayJulSep
  • counted poll · area is its model weight
  • weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
  • trailing 30-day average
  • published average
  • 30 days before this edition

Every poll on file · 7

newest first

5 in the aggregate · 2 shown, not counted · 7 primary polls on file, not listed here

PollsterFieldedSampleResultWeightSource
TIPP InsightsGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan1,192 LVAmy Klobuchar 49.67Lisa Demuth 39.83Don't know 4.22Someone else 3.2Steven Young 3.08+1 other release1.042News coverage
SurveyUSAGeneral661 LVAmy Klobuchar 52Lisa Demuth 36Don't know 12Steven Young 1+1 other release0.341Poll release
Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc.General800 LVAmy Klobuchar 53Mike Lindell 36Don't know 11Someone else 1+5 other releases0.038Poll release
Emerson CollegeGeneral1,000 LVAmy Klobuchar 51.1Lisa Demuth 37.7Don't know 6.6Someone else 4.6+3 other releases0.001Poll release
SurveyUSAGeneral575 RVAmy Klobuchar 52Mike Lindell 32Don't know 16+16 other releases0.000Poll release
RMG ResearchGeneral800 RVGeneric Republican 46Tim Walz 40Don't know 14not in the aggregatePoll release
SurveyUSAGeneral568 LVTim Walz 49Phillip Parrish 38Don't know 14+3 other releasesnot in the aggregatePoll release

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.