Connecticut Governor polls
Ned Lamont (D) vs Ryan Fazio (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Adjusted aggregateD+14.2same figure as the race page
Polls44 recorded polls · 4 eligible for the aggregate · 4 with positive weight
Latest field dateSep 8Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-09-08 (5 days old)
EditionSep 13weights and corrections as of this edition
The polls the model reads
hover, tap or Tab to any poll- counted poll · area is its model weight
- weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
- poll trend · smoothed across nearby polls, larger and non-partisan ones count more · the recent end firms up as polls arrive
- published average
- 30 days before this edition
Every poll on file · 5
newest first4 in the aggregate · 1 shown, not counted · 7 primary polls on file, not listed here
| Pollster | Fielded | Added | Sample | Result | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ●GreatBlue ResearchGeneral | 1,000 RV | Ned Lamont 52.2Ryan Fazio 36.5Don't know 11.4 | 2d ago | 0.602 | Poll document | |
| ●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral | 803 LV | Ned Lamont 52Ryan Fazio 37Don't know 9Someone else 3+1 other release | 0.292 | Poll release | ||
| ●GreatBlue ResearchGeneral | — LV | Josh Elliott 48.8Ryan Fazio 34.3+4 other releases | 0.141 | Poll release | ||
| ●University of New Hampshire Survey CenterGeneral | 821 LV | Ned Lamont 49Ryan Fazio 36Don't know 12Someone else 2+1 other release | 0.038 | Poll release | ||
| OnMessage Inc.General · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 600 LV | Ned Lamont 50Erin Stewart 42Don't know 8 | not in the aggregate | Poll release |
Archive source date 2026-09-13. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.