Arizona Governor polls
Katie Hobbs (D) vs Andy Biggs (R). The polls the model aggregates, each with its weight and source, then every public poll on file. The forecast itself lives on the race page.
Adjusted aggregateD+7.4same figure as the race page
Polls2020 recorded polls · 20 eligible for the aggregate · 15 with positive weight
Latest field dateAug 19Eligible polls: latest poll: 2026-08-19 (25 days old)
EditionSep 13weights and corrections as of this edition
The polls the model reads
hover, tap or Tab to any poll- counted poll · area is its model weight
- weight exactly zero · shown, not counted
- poll trend · smoothed across nearby polls, larger and non-partisan ones count more · the recent end firms up as polls arrive
- published average
- 30 days before this edition
Every poll on file · 25
newest first23 in the aggregate · 2 shown, not counted
| Pollster | Fielded | Added | Sample | Result | Weight | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NextGen PollingGeneral · Governor | 1,627 RV | Katie Hobbs 39Andy Biggs 38Risa Lombardo 1Teri Hourihan 1 | not in the aggregate | Poll release | ||
| ●NextGenPGeneral | 1,378 RV | Katie Hobbs 39Andy Biggs 37.5Don't know 22.2Risa Lombardo 0.7Teri Hourihan 0.6 | 0.365 | Poll release | ||
| ●HighGroundGeneral · Governor | 400 LV | Katie Hobbs 50Andy Biggs 34Teri Hourihan 2Risa Lombardo 1+1 other release | 0.190 | Poll release | ||
| ●Quantus InsightsGeneral · Governor | 780 LV | Katie Hobbs 49Andy Biggs 43+1 other release | 0.203 | Poll document | ||
| ●Kreate StrategiesGeneral · Governor · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 900 LV | Katie Hobbs 45Andy Biggs 40+1 other release | 0.267 | Pollster post | ||
| ●Noble Predictive InsightsGeneral · Governor | 923 LV | Katie Hobbs 48Andy Biggs 35Risa Lombardo 2Teri Ann Hourihan 1+2 other releases | 0.245 | Poll release | ||
| ●Stealth AnalyticsGeneral · Governor | 530 LV | Katie Hobbs 43Andy Biggs 38+1 other release | 0.186 | Poll release | ||
| ●GrayhouseGeneral · REP sponsor · REP partisan | 600 LV | Katie Hobbs 49Andy Biggs 45 | 0.185 | Pollster post | ||
| ●The Tarrance GroupGeneral · Governor | 600 LV | Katie Hobbs 52Andy Biggs 48 | 0.145 | Poll release | ||
| ●Tarrance GroupGeneral | 600 LV | Katie Hobbs 52Andy Biggs 48 | 0.145 | Poll release | ||
| ●Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact ResearchGeneral · Governor | 913 LV | Katie Hobbs 52Andy Biggs 44 | 0.144 | Poll document | ||
| ●Fabrizio Ward/Impact ResearchGeneral | 913 LV | Katie Hobbs 52Andy Biggs 44Don't know 4Someone else 0 | 0.144 | Poll document |
Archive source date 2026-09-13. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
Model rows carry what the source record provides: pollster, field dates, sample size and D/R shares where published. Archive rows come from the broad public harvest. Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.