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Pollster file

YouGov

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls: 447
Mean absolute error: 4.60percentage points
Historical bias: D+1.01
Represented cycles: 142004–2025
Current archive: 441canonical records
History span: Oct 12, 2004through Oct 28, 2025

Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases: CBS News/YouGov · CES/YouGov · Rose Institute/YouGov · The Economist/YouGov · University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov · YouGov/Cooperative Election Study · YouGov/The Economist
Organization type: Single canonical organization
Cycles represented: 2004 · 2006 · 2008 · 2009 · 2010 · 2012 · 2014 · 2016 · 2017 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022 · 2024 · 2025

447 eligible historical polls across 14 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-11 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

9 shown · 441 total

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Approve +3

Approve 50% · Disapprove 47%

Field dates: Feb 16–Feb 18, 2025
Sample: 1,451 RV
Sponsor / client: The Economist
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +2

Approve 46% · Disapprove 48%

Field dates: Feb 9–Feb 11, 2025
Sample: 1,595 A
Sponsor / client: The Economist
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Approve +4

Approve 45% · Disapprove 41%

Field dates: Feb 6–Feb 11, 2025
Sample: 1,000 A
Sponsor / client: Elon University
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +2

Approve 47% · Disapprove 49%

Field dates: Feb 9–Feb 11, 2025
Sample: 1,430 RV
Sponsor / client: The Economist
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Approve +6

Approve 53% · Disapprove 47%

Field dates: Feb 5–Feb 7, 2025
Sample: 2,175 A
Sponsor / client: CBS News
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Approve +1

Approve 48% · Disapprove 47%

Field dates: Feb 2–Feb 4, 2025
Sample: 1,423 RV
Sponsor / client: The Economist
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Approve +2

Approve 46% · Disapprove 44%

Field dates: Feb 2–Feb 4, 2025
Sample: 1,604 A
Sponsor / client: The Economist
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Approve +6

Approve 49% · Disapprove 43%

Field dates: Jan 26–Jan 28, 2025
Sample: 1,577 A
Sponsor / client: The Economist
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Approve +4

Approve 50% · Disapprove 46%

Field dates: Jan 26–Jan 28, 2025
Sample: 1,376 RV
Sponsor / client: The Economist
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →

Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

50 shown · 447 total

Cycle	Race	Type	Field end	Sample	Poll	Result	Error
2014	2014_Gov-G_KS	Gov-G	2014-10-20	1,973	R+3.0	R+3.7	D+0.7
2014	2014_Gov-G_IL	Gov-G	2014-10-20	3,519	D+4.0	R+3.9	D+7.9
2014	2014_Gov-G_ID	Gov-G	2014-10-20	575	R+18.0	R+15.0	R+3.0
2014	2014_Gov-G_IA	Gov-G	2014-10-20	2,322	R+13.0	R+21.7	D+8.7
2014	2014_Gov-G_HI	Gov-G	2014-10-20	1,002	D+32.0	D+12.4	D+19.6
2014	2014_Gov-G_GA	Gov-G	2014-10-20	1,774	R+4.0	R+7.9	D+3.9
2014	2014_Gov-G_FL	Gov-G	2014-10-20	5,422	R+1.0	R+1.1	D+0.1
2014	2014_Gov-G_CT	Gov-G	2014-10-20	1,267	0	D+2.6	R+2.6
2014	2014_Gov-G_CO	Gov-G	2014-10-20	1,611	D+4.0	D+3.3	D+0.7
2014	2014_Gov-G_CA	Gov-G	2014-10-20	7,463	D+18.0	D+19.9	R+1.9
2014	2014_Gov-G_AZ	Gov-G	2014-10-20	2,621	R+10.0	R+11.8	D+1.8
2014	2014_Gov-G_AR	Gov-G	2014-10-20	1,567	R+9.0	R+13.9	D+4.9
2014	2014_Gov-G_AL	Gov-G	2014-10-20	661	R+38.0	R+27.4	R+10.6
2014	2014_Sen-G_TX	Sen-G	2014-10-15	866	R+26.0	R+27.2	D+1.2
2014	2014_Gov-G_TX	Gov-G	2014-10-15	866	R+16.0	R+20.4	D+4.4
2012	2012_Pres-G_US	Pres-G	2012-11-04	740	D+2.0	D+3.9	R+1.9
2012	2012_House-G_US	House-G	2012-11-04	743	0	D+1.1	R+1.1
2012	2012_Sen-G_WI	Sen-G	2012-11-02	1,225	D+1.0	D+5.5	R+4.5
2012	2012_Sen-G_WA	Sen-G	2012-11-02	837	D+18.0	D+20.9	R+2.9
2012	2012_Sen-G_VA	Sen-G	2012-11-02	1,497	0	D+5.9	R+5.9
2012	2012_Sen-G_TX	Sen-G	2012-11-02	1,563	R+21.0	R+15.8	R+5.2
2012	2012_Sen-G_TN	Sen-G	2012-11-02	697	R+33.0	R+34.5	D+1.5
2012	2012_Sen-G_PA	Sen-G	2012-11-02	1,273	D+8.0	D+9.1	R+1.1
2012	2012_Sen-G_OH	Sen-G	2012-11-02	1,620	D+2.0	D+6.0	R+4.0
2012	2012_Sen-G_NY	Sen-G	2012-11-02	1,430	D+32.0	D+45.8	R+13.8
2012	2012_Sen-G_NV	Sen-G	2012-11-02	732	R+9.0	R+1.2	R+7.8
2012	2012_Sen-G_NM	Sen-G	2012-11-02	650	D+7.0	D+5.7	D+1.3
2012	2012_Sen-G_NJ	Sen-G	2012-11-02	987	D+15.0	D+19.5	R+4.5
2012	2012_Sen-G_MO	Sen-G	2012-11-02	779	D+10.0	D+15.7	R+5.7
2012	2012_Sen-G_MN	Sen-G	2012-11-02	790	D+28.0	D+34.7	R+6.7
2012	2012_Sen-G_MI	Sen-G	2012-11-02	1,091	D+12.0	D+20.8	R+8.8
2012	2012_Sen-G_MD	Sen-G	2012-11-02	705	D+23.0	D+29.7	R+6.7
2012	2012_Sen-G_MA	Sen-G	2012-11-02	811	D+7.0	D+7.5	R+0.6
2012	2012_Sen-G_IN	Sen-G	2012-11-02	600	D+2.0	D+5.8	R+3.8
2012	2012_Sen-G_FL	Sen-G	2012-11-02	1,621	D+6.0	D+13.0	R+7.0
2012	2012_Sen-G_CT	Sen-G	2012-11-02	895	D+2.0	D+11.8	R+9.8
2012	2012_Sen-G_CA	Sen-G	2012-11-02	1,575	D+17.0	D+25.1	R+8.1
2012	2012_Sen-G_AZ	Sen-G	2012-11-02	702	R+7.0	R+3.0	R+4.0
2012	2012_Pres-G_WI	Pres-G	2012-11-02	1,225	D+4.0	D+6.8	R+2.9
2012	2012_Pres-G_WA	Pres-G	2012-11-02	837	D+14.0	D+14.9	R+0.9
2012	2012_Pres-G_VA	Pres-G	2012-11-02	1,497	D+2.0	D+3.9	R+1.9
2012	2012_Pres-G_US	Pres-G	2012-11-02	36,472	D+2.0	D+3.9	R+1.9
2012	2012_Pres-G_TX	Pres-G	2012-11-02	1,563	R+19.0	R+15.8	R+3.2
2012	2012_Pres-G_TN	Pres-G	2012-11-02	697	R+11.0	R+20.4	D+9.4
2012	2012_Pres-G_PA	Pres-G	2012-11-02	1,273	D+8.0	D+5.4	D+2.6
2012	2012_Pres-G_OH	Pres-G	2012-11-02	1,620	D+3.0	D+3.0	D+0.0
2012	2012_Pres-G_NY	Pres-G	2012-11-02	1,430	D+23.0	D+28.2	R+5.2
2012	2012_Pres-G_NV	Pres-G	2012-11-02	732	D+4.0	D+6.7	R+2.7
2012	2012_Pres-G_NM	Pres-G	2012-11-02	650	D+6.0	D+10.2	R+4.2
2012	2012_Pres-G_NJ	Pres-G	2012-11-02	987	D+12.0	D+17.7	R+5.7

4 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.