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Pollster file

YouGov

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls: 447
Mean absolute error: 4.60percentage points
Historical bias: D+1.01
Represented cycles: 142004–2025
Current archive: 428canonical records
History span: Oct 12, 2004through Oct 28, 2025

Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases: CBS News/YouGov · CES/YouGov · Rose Institute/YouGov · The Economist/YouGov · University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov · YouGov/Cooperative Election Study · YouGov/The Economist
Organization type: Single canonical organization
Cycles represented: 2004 · 2006 · 2008 · 2009 · 2010 · 2012 · 2014 · 2016 · 2017 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022 · 2024 · 2025

447 eligible historical polls across 14 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 428 total

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +10

Approve 44% · Disapprove 54%

Field dates: Jul 18–Jul 21, 2025
Sample: 1,111 RV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +8.5

Approve 41.52% · Disapprove 50.05%

Field dates: May 6–May 8, 2025
Sample: 1,142 A
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +10

Approve 42% · Disapprove 52%

Field dates: Apr 25–May 2, 2025
Sample: 2,220 A
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +8

Approve 45% · Disapprove 53%

Field dates: Apr 25–Apr 28, 2025
Sample: 1,024 RV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +10

Approve 45% · Disapprove 55%

Field dates: Apr 23–Apr 25, 2025
Sample: 2,365 A
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +11

Approve 42% · Disapprove 53%

Field dates: Apr 21–Apr 23, 2025
Sample: 1,295 A
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +6

Approve 41% · Disapprove 47%

Field dates: Apr 10–Apr 17, 2025
Sample: 1,000 A
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Tied

Approve 50% · Disapprove 50%

Field dates: Mar 27–Mar 28, 2025
Sample: 2,600 A
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +6

Approve 44% · Disapprove 50%

Field dates: Mar 20–Mar 24, 2025
Sample: 1,667 A
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +4

Approve 46% · Disapprove 50%

Field dates: Mar 20–Mar 24, 2025
Sample: 1,125 RV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Tied

Approve 49% · Disapprove 49%

Field dates: Mar 1–Mar 4, 2025
Sample: 1,491 RV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +1

Approve 45% · Disapprove 46%

Field dates: Feb 21–Feb 25, 2025
Sample: 1,129 A
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →

Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

50 shown · 447 total

Cycle	Race	Type	Field end	Sample	Poll	Result	Error
2012	2012_Pres-G_NH	Pres-G	2012-11-02	690	D+4.0	D+5.6	R+1.6
2012	2012_Pres-G_NC	Pres-G	2012-11-02	1,500	R+2.0	R+2.0	D+0.1
2012	2012_Pres-G_MO	Pres-G	2012-11-02	779	R+11.0	R+9.4	R+1.6
2012	2012_Pres-G_MN	Pres-G	2012-11-02	790	D+7.0	D+7.7	R+0.7
2012	2012_Pres-G_MI	Pres-G	2012-11-02	1,091	D+7.0	D+9.5	R+2.5
2012	2012_Pres-G_MD	Pres-G	2012-11-02	705	D+22.0	D+26.2	R+4.2
2012	2012_Pres-G_MA	Pres-G	2012-11-02	811	D+20.0	D+23.2	R+3.2
2012	2012_Pres-G_IN	Pres-G	2012-11-02	768	R+7.0	R+10.2	D+3.2
2012	2012_Pres-G_IL	Pres-G	2012-11-02	1,126	D+19.0	D+16.9	D+2.1
2012	2012_Pres-G_IA	Pres-G	2012-11-02	1,040	D+1.0	D+5.8	R+4.8
2012	2012_Pres-G_GA	Pres-G	2012-11-02	1,070	R+8.0	R+7.8	R+0.2
2012	2012_Pres-G_FL	Pres-G	2012-11-02	1,621	R+1.0	D+0.9	R+1.9
2012	2012_Pres-G_CT	Pres-G	2012-11-02	895	D+15.0	D+17.3	R+2.3
2012	2012_Pres-G_CO	Pres-G	2012-11-02	752	D+1.0	D+5.4	R+4.4
2012	2012_Pres-G_CA	Pres-G	2012-11-02	1,575	D+15.0	D+23.1	R+8.1
2012	2012_Pres-G_AZ	Pres-G	2012-11-02	702	R+8.0	R+9.1	D+1.1
2012	2012_House-G_US	House-G	2012-11-02	25,528	D+5.9	D+1.1	D+4.8
2012	2012_Pres-G_US	Pres-G	2012-10-28	688	D+1.0	D+3.9	R+2.9
2012	2012_House-G_US	House-G	2012-10-28	688	R+4.0	D+1.1	R+5.1
2012	2012_Pres-G_US	Pres-G	2012-10-21	803	D+2.0	D+3.9	R+1.9
2012	2012_House-G_US	House-G	2012-10-21	803	D+2.0	D+1.1	D+0.9
2012	2012_Sen-G_TX	Sen-G	2012-10-18	540	R+15.0	R+15.8	D+0.8
2012	2012_Pres-G_TX	Pres-G	2012-10-18	540	R+16.0	R+15.8	R+0.2
2010	2010_Sen-G_PA	Sen-G	2010-10-30	570	R+4.0	R+2.0	R+2.0
2010	2010_Sen-G_OH	Sen-G	2010-10-30	560	R+13.0	R+17.4	D+4.4
2010	2010_Sen-G_NY	Sen-G	2010-10-30	578	D+26.0	D+34.1	R+8.1
2010	2010_Sen-G_CA	Sen-G	2010-10-30	810	D+4.0	D+10.0	R+6.0
2010	2010_Sen-GS_NY	Sen-G	2010-10-30	578	D+23.6	D+27.8	R+4.2
2010	2010_House-G_US	House-G	2010-10-30	1,634	R+7.0	R+6.8	R+0.2
2010	2010_Gov-G_PA	Gov-G	2010-10-30	570	R+11.0	R+9.0	R+2.0
2010	2010_Gov-G_OH	Gov-G	2010-10-30	560	R+3.0	R+2.0	R+1.0
2010	2010_Gov-G_NY	Gov-G	2010-10-30	578	D+27.0	D+29.3	R+2.3
2010	2010_Gov-G_FL	Gov-G	2010-10-30	548	0	R+1.1	D+1.1
2010	2010_Gov-G_CA	Gov-G	2010-10-30	810	D+10.0	D+12.9	R+2.9
2010	2010_Sen-G_WI	Sen-G	2010-10-28	842	R+6.0	R+4.8	R+1.2
2010	2010_Sen-G_WA	Sen-G	2010-10-28	849	D+2.7	D+4.7	R+2.0
2010	2010_Sen-G_NV	Sen-G	2010-10-28	711	R+2.0	D+5.9	R+7.9
2010	2010_Sen-G_IL	Sen-G	2010-10-28	672	D+2.7	R+1.6	D+4.3
2010	2010_Gov-G_WI	Gov-G	2010-10-28	842	R+10.0	R+5.8	R+4.2
2010	2010_Gov-G_NV	Gov-G	2010-10-28	711	R+16.0	R+11.9	R+4.0
2010	2010_Gov-G_IL	Gov-G	2010-10-28	660	R+7.3	D+0.8	R+8.2
2010	2010_Sen-G_PA	Sen-G	2010-10-27	779	R+6.0	R+2.0	R+4.0
2010	2010_Sen-G_OH	Sen-G	2010-10-27	805	R+13.0	R+17.4	D+4.4
2010	2010_Sen-G_NY	Sen-G	2010-10-27	819	D+24.0	D+34.1	R+10.1
2010	2010_Sen-G_MO	Sen-G	2010-10-27	789	R+11.1	R+13.6	D+2.5
2010	2010_Sen-G_KY	Sen-G	2010-10-27	822	R+8.0	R+11.5	D+3.5
2010	2010_Sen-G_CT	Sen-G	2010-10-27	783	D+9.9	D+11.9	R+2.0
2010	2010_Sen-G_CO	Sen-G	2010-10-27	855	D+1.0	D+1.6	R+0.6
2010	2010_Sen-G_CA	Sen-G	2010-10-27	814	D+3.3	D+10.0	R+6.7
2010	2010_Sen-GS_NY	Sen-G	2010-10-27	819	D+24.0	D+27.8	R+3.8

4 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.