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Pollster file

YouGov

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls: 447
Mean absolute error: 4.60percentage points
Historical bias: D+1.01
Represented cycles: 142004–2025
Current archive: 428canonical records
History span: Oct 12, 2004through Oct 28, 2025

Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases: CBS News/YouGov · CES/YouGov · Rose Institute/YouGov · The Economist/YouGov · University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov · YouGov/Cooperative Election Study · YouGov/The Economist
Organization type: Single canonical organization
Cycles represented: 2004 · 2006 · 2008 · 2009 · 2010 · 2012 · 2014 · 2016 · 2017 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022 · 2024 · 2025

447 eligible historical polls across 14 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

12 shown · 428 total

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +26

Approve 35% · Disapprove 61%

Field dates: Aug 14–Aug 17, 2026
Sample: 1,611 A
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +23

Approve 38% · Disapprove 61%

Field dates: Aug 7–Aug 10, 2026
Sample: 1,420 RV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +24

Approve 36% · Disapprove 60%

Field dates: Jul 31–Aug 3, 2026
Sample: 1,609 A
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +20

Approve 39% · Disapprove 59%

Field dates: Jul 31–Aug 3, 2026
Sample: 1,473 RV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +20

Approve 39% · Disapprove 59%

Field dates: Jul 25–Jul 27, 2026
Sample: 1,407 RV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +28

Approve 34% · Disapprove 62%

Field dates: Jul 25–Jul 27, 2026
Sample: 1,559 A
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +22

Approve 39% · Disapprove 61%

Field dates: Jul 22–Jul 24, 2026
Sample: 2,191 A
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +24

Approve 36% · Disapprove 60%

Field dates: Jul 17–Jul 20, 2026
Sample: 1,602 A
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +18

Approve 40% · Disapprove 58%

Field dates: Jul 17–Jul 20, 2026
Sample: 1,432 RV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +18

Approve 40% · Disapprove 58%

Field dates: Jul 10–Jul 13, 2026
Sample: 1,450 RV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +26

Approve 35% · Disapprove 61%

Field dates: Jul 3–Jul 6, 2026
Sample: 1,603 A
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +18

Approve 40% · Disapprove 58%

Field dates: Jul 3–Jul 6, 2026
Sample: 1,443 RV
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →

Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

50 shown · 447 total

Cycle	Race	Type	Field end	Sample	Poll	Result	Error
2014	2014_Gov-G_KS	Gov-G	2014-10-20	1,973	R+3.0	R+3.7	D+0.7
2014	2014_Gov-G_IL	Gov-G	2014-10-20	3,519	D+4.0	R+3.9	D+7.9
2014	2014_Gov-G_ID	Gov-G	2014-10-20	575	R+18.0	R+15.0	R+3.0
2014	2014_Gov-G_IA	Gov-G	2014-10-20	2,322	R+13.0	R+21.7	D+8.7
2014	2014_Gov-G_HI	Gov-G	2014-10-20	1,002	D+32.0	D+12.4	D+19.6
2014	2014_Gov-G_GA	Gov-G	2014-10-20	1,774	R+4.0	R+7.9	D+3.9
2014	2014_Gov-G_FL	Gov-G	2014-10-20	5,422	R+1.0	R+1.1	D+0.1
2014	2014_Gov-G_CT	Gov-G	2014-10-20	1,267	0	D+2.6	R+2.6
2014	2014_Gov-G_CO	Gov-G	2014-10-20	1,611	D+4.0	D+3.3	D+0.7
2014	2014_Gov-G_CA	Gov-G	2014-10-20	7,463	D+18.0	D+19.9	R+1.9
2014	2014_Gov-G_AZ	Gov-G	2014-10-20	2,621	R+10.0	R+11.8	D+1.8
2014	2014_Gov-G_AR	Gov-G	2014-10-20	1,567	R+9.0	R+13.9	D+4.9
2014	2014_Gov-G_AL	Gov-G	2014-10-20	661	R+38.0	R+27.4	R+10.6
2014	2014_Sen-G_TX	Sen-G	2014-10-15	866	R+26.0	R+27.2	D+1.2
2014	2014_Gov-G_TX	Gov-G	2014-10-15	866	R+16.0	R+20.4	D+4.4
2012	2012_Pres-G_US	Pres-G	2012-11-04	740	D+2.0	D+3.9	R+1.9
2012	2012_House-G_US	House-G	2012-11-04	743	0	D+1.1	R+1.1
2012	2012_Sen-G_WI	Sen-G	2012-11-02	1,225	D+1.0	D+5.5	R+4.5
2012	2012_Sen-G_WA	Sen-G	2012-11-02	837	D+18.0	D+20.9	R+2.9
2012	2012_Sen-G_VA	Sen-G	2012-11-02	1,497	0	D+5.9	R+5.9
2012	2012_Sen-G_TX	Sen-G	2012-11-02	1,563	R+21.0	R+15.8	R+5.2
2012	2012_Sen-G_TN	Sen-G	2012-11-02	697	R+33.0	R+34.5	D+1.5
2012	2012_Sen-G_PA	Sen-G	2012-11-02	1,273	D+8.0	D+9.1	R+1.1
2012	2012_Sen-G_OH	Sen-G	2012-11-02	1,620	D+2.0	D+6.0	R+4.0
2012	2012_Sen-G_NY	Sen-G	2012-11-02	1,430	D+32.0	D+45.8	R+13.8
2012	2012_Sen-G_NV	Sen-G	2012-11-02	732	R+9.0	R+1.2	R+7.8
2012	2012_Sen-G_NM	Sen-G	2012-11-02	650	D+7.0	D+5.7	D+1.3
2012	2012_Sen-G_NJ	Sen-G	2012-11-02	987	D+15.0	D+19.5	R+4.5
2012	2012_Sen-G_MO	Sen-G	2012-11-02	779	D+10.0	D+15.7	R+5.7
2012	2012_Sen-G_MN	Sen-G	2012-11-02	790	D+28.0	D+34.7	R+6.7
2012	2012_Sen-G_MI	Sen-G	2012-11-02	1,091	D+12.0	D+20.8	R+8.8
2012	2012_Sen-G_MD	Sen-G	2012-11-02	705	D+23.0	D+29.7	R+6.7
2012	2012_Sen-G_MA	Sen-G	2012-11-02	811	D+7.0	D+7.5	R+0.6
2012	2012_Sen-G_IN	Sen-G	2012-11-02	600	D+2.0	D+5.8	R+3.8
2012	2012_Sen-G_FL	Sen-G	2012-11-02	1,621	D+6.0	D+13.0	R+7.0
2012	2012_Sen-G_CT	Sen-G	2012-11-02	895	D+2.0	D+11.8	R+9.8
2012	2012_Sen-G_CA	Sen-G	2012-11-02	1,575	D+17.0	D+25.1	R+8.1
2012	2012_Sen-G_AZ	Sen-G	2012-11-02	702	R+7.0	R+3.0	R+4.0
2012	2012_Pres-G_WI	Pres-G	2012-11-02	1,225	D+4.0	D+6.8	R+2.9
2012	2012_Pres-G_WA	Pres-G	2012-11-02	837	D+14.0	D+14.9	R+0.9
2012	2012_Pres-G_VA	Pres-G	2012-11-02	1,497	D+2.0	D+3.9	R+1.9
2012	2012_Pres-G_US	Pres-G	2012-11-02	36,472	D+2.0	D+3.9	R+1.9
2012	2012_Pres-G_TX	Pres-G	2012-11-02	1,563	R+19.0	R+15.8	R+3.2
2012	2012_Pres-G_TN	Pres-G	2012-11-02	697	R+11.0	R+20.4	D+9.4
2012	2012_Pres-G_PA	Pres-G	2012-11-02	1,273	D+8.0	D+5.4	D+2.6
2012	2012_Pres-G_OH	Pres-G	2012-11-02	1,620	D+3.0	D+3.0	D+0.0
2012	2012_Pres-G_NY	Pres-G	2012-11-02	1,430	D+23.0	D+28.2	R+5.2
2012	2012_Pres-G_NV	Pres-G	2012-11-02	732	D+4.0	D+6.7	R+2.7
2012	2012_Pres-G_NM	Pres-G	2012-11-02	650	D+6.0	D+10.2	R+4.2
2012	2012_Pres-G_NJ	Pres-G	2012-11-02	987	D+12.0	D+17.7	R+5.7

4 further rows are held in this pollster’s history shard as within-party or nonpartisan contests (Prim). Those carry no D/R orientation, so they are excluded from the error, bias and coverage figures above and from the table.

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.