Race
Ossoff +10Georgia · Senate
Don't know 21% · Mike Collins 34% · Jon Ossoff 44%
- Field dates
- Jan 14–Jan 15, 2025
- Sample
- 500 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Club for Growth
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Pollster file
WPA Intelligence
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 16
- Mean absolute error
- 7.12percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+1.09
- Represented cycles
- 71998–2022
- Current archive
- 7canonical records
- History span
- Oct 18, 1998through Oct 30, 2022
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- WPA Intelligence (R)
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 1998 · 2004 · 2010 · 2014 · 2016 · 2018 · 2022
16 eligible historical polls across 7 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
7 shown · 7 total
Race
Kemp +6Georgia · Senate
Don't know 14% · Jon Ossoff 40% · Brian Kemp 46%
- Field dates
- Jan 14–Jan 15, 2025
- Sample
- 500 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Club for Growth
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Race
Ossoff +14Georgia · Senate
Don't know 23% · Brad Raffensperger 32% · Jon Ossoff 46%
- Field dates
- Jan 14–Jan 15, 2025
- Sample
- 500 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Club for Growth
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Race
Ossoff +13Georgia · Senate
Don't know 23% · Jon Ossoff 45% · Buddy Carter 32%
- Field dates
- Jan 14–Jan 15, 2025
- Sample
- 500 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Club for Growth
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Race
Ossoff +16Georgia · Senate
Don't know 22% · Jon Ossoff 47% · John King 31%
- Field dates
- Jan 14–Jan 15, 2025
- Sample
- 500 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Club for Growth
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Race
Ossoff +11Georgia · Senate
Don't know 23% · Rich McCormick 33% · Jon Ossoff 44%
- Field dates
- Jan 14–Jan 15, 2025
- Sample
- 500 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Club for Growth
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Senate
Ossoff +10Georgia · Senate
Jon Ossoff 44% · Mike Collins 34%
- Field dates
- Jan 14–Jan 15, 2025
- Sample
- 500 LV
- Sponsor / client
- Club for Growth
- Partisan sponsorship
- Republican-sponsored
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
16 shown · 16 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_OK | Gov-G | 2022-10-30 | 500 | R+13.0 | R+13.7 | D+0.7 |
| 2018 | 2018_House-G_IA-4 | House-G | 2018-10-23 | 401 | R+18.0 | R+3.3 | R+14.7 |
| 2018 | 2018_House-G_TX-21 | House-G | 2018-10-19 | 401 | R+12.0 | R+2.6 | R+9.4 |
| 2016 | 2016_Sen-G_WI | Sen-G | 2016-10-19 | 400 | D+3.0 | R+3.4 | D+6.4 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-GR_LA | Sen-G | 2014-11-25 | 500 | R+24.0 | R+11.9 | R+12.1 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_MD | Gov-G | 2014-10-27 | 504 | R+5.0 | R+3.8 | R+1.2 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_MD | Gov-G | 2014-10-20 | 500 | D+1.0 | R+3.8 | D+4.8 |
| 2010 | 2010_Sen-G_OH | Sen-G | 2010-10-21 | 500 | R+11.0 | R+17.4 | D+6.4 |
| 2010 | 2010_House-G_MO-4 | House-G | 2010-10-18 | 300 | 0 | R+5.3 | D+5.3 |
| 2010 | 2010_Sen-G_CA | Sen-G | 2010-10-14 | 800 | R+3.0 | D+10.0 | R+13.0 |
| 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_CA | Gov-G | 2010-10-14 | 800 | R+1.0 | D+12.9 | R+13.9 |
| 2004 | 2004_Sen-G_OK | Sen-G | 2004-10-23 | 500 | R+3.0 | R+11.5 | D+8.5 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_OK | Pres-G | 2004-10-23 | 500 | R+33.0 | R+31.1 | R+1.9 |
| 2004 | 2004_Sen-G_OK | Sen-G | 2004-10-16 | 500 | R+3.0 | R+11.5 | D+8.5 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_OK | Pres-G | 2004-10-16 | 500 | R+30.0 | R+31.1 | D+1.1 |
| 1998 | 1998_House-G_ND-1 | House-G | 1998-10-18 | 300 | D+9.0 | D+15.1 | R+6.1 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.