We Ask America
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 37
- Mean absolute error
- 4.73percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+1.27
- Represented cycles
- 42010–2019
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- May 13, 2010through Sep 25, 2019
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2010 · 2012 · 2014 · 2019
37 eligible historical polls across 4 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
37 shown · 37 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 2019_Gov-O_LA | Gov-G | 2019-09-25 | 600 | D+24.0 | D+19.2 | D+4.8 |
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_IL | Gov-G | 2014-10-28 | 2,327 | D+5.0 | R+3.9 | D+8.9 |
| 2014 | 2014_House-G_IL-17 | House-G | 2014-10-21 | 600 | D+16.0 | D+10.9 | D+5.1 |
| 2014 | 2014_House-G_IL-13 | House-G | 2014-10-21 | 600 | R+17.0 | R+17.3 | D+0.3 |
| 2014 | 2014_House-G_IL-12 | House-G | 2014-10-21 | 600 | R+2.0 | R+10.6 | D+8.6 |
| 2014 | 2014_House-G_IL-11 | House-G | 2014-10-21 | 600 | D+12.0 | D+6.9 | D+5.1 |
| 2014 | 2014_House-G_IL-10 | House-G | 2014-10-21 | 600 | R+2.0 | R+2.6 | D+0.6 |
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_NE | Sen-G | 2012-11-01 | 1,178 | R+12.4 | R+15.6 | D+3.1 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_NE | Pres-G | 2012-11-01 | 1,178 | R+13.0 | R+21.9 | D+8.9 |
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_WI | Sen-G | 2012-10-31 | 1,210 | D+2.2 | D+5.5 | R+3.4 |
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_VA | Sen-G | 2012-10-31 | 1,069 | R+0.8 | D+5.9 | R+6.7 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_WI | Pres-G | 2012-10-31 | 1,210 | D+6.7 | D+6.8 | R+0.1 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_VA | Pres-G | 2012-10-31 | 1,069 | D+0.9 | D+3.9 | R+3.0 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2012-10-31 | 1,649 | D+4.4 | D+3.0 | D+1.4 |
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_MO | Sen-G | 2012-10-30 | 1,217 | D+3.4 | D+15.7 | R+12.3 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_MO | Pres-G | 2012-10-30 | 1,217 | R+11.6 | R+9.4 | R+2.2 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_IL | Pres-G | 2012-10-30 | 1,198 | D+16.0 | D+16.9 | R+0.9 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_IA | Pres-G | 2012-10-30 | 1,174 | D+1.5 | D+5.8 | R+4.3 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_FL | Pres-G | 2012-10-30 | 1,146 | R+0.9 | D+0.9 | R+1.8 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_CO | Pres-G | 2012-10-30 | 1,246 | D+3.4 | D+5.4 | R+2.0 |
| 2012 | 2012_House-G_IL-8 | House-G | 2012-10-28 | 1,010 | D+10.0 | D+9.5 | D+0.5 |
| 2012 | 2012_House-G_IL-17 | House-G | 2012-10-28 | 1,325 | R+4.0 | D+6.6 | R+10.6 |
| 2012 | 2012_House-G_IL-13 | House-G | 2012-10-28 | 1,360 | R+5.1 | R+0.3 | R+4.8 |
| 2012 | 2012_House-G_IL-12 | House-G | 2012-10-28 | 1,313 | D+5.0 | D+8.9 | R+3.9 |
| 2012 | 2012_House-G_IL-11 | House-G | 2012-10-28 | 1,303 | 0 | D+17.1 | R+17.1 |
| 2012 | 2012_House-G_IL-10 | House-G | 2012-10-28 | 1,257 | R+7.2 | D+1.3 | R+8.5 |
| 2012 | 2012_House-G_IL-2 | House-G | 2012-10-21 | 819 | D+31.0 | D+40.0 | R+9.0 |
| 2012 | 2012_Gov-GS_WI | Gov-G | 2012-06-03 | 1,570 | R+12.0 | R+6.8 | R+5.2 |
| 2012 | 2012_Gov-GS_WI | Gov-G | 2012-05-23 | 1,409 | R+12.0 | R+6.8 | R+5.2 |
| 2010 | 2010_House-G_IL-8 | House-G | 2010-10-31 | 773 | R+3.0 | R+0.1 | R+2.9 |
| 2010 | 2010_House-G_IL-17 | House-G | 2010-10-31 | 1,103 | R+8.0 | R+9.6 | D+1.6 |
| 2010 | 2010_House-G_IL-14 | House-G | 2010-10-31 | 784 | R+5.0 | R+6.3 | D+1.3 |
| 2010 | 2010_House-G_IL-11 | House-G | 2010-10-31 | 829 | R+10.0 | R+14.7 | D+4.7 |
| 2010 | 2010_House-G_IL-10 | House-G | 2010-10-31 | 861 | R+8.0 | R+2.2 | R+5.8 |
| 2010 | 2010_House-G_WI-7 | House-G | 2010-10-18 | 1,150 | R+7.0 | R+7.7 | D+0.7 |
| 2010 | 2010_House-G_IL-10 | House-G | 2010-10-15 | 1,148 | R+11.0 | R+2.2 | R+8.8 |
| 2010 | 2010_House-GS_PA-12 | House-G | 2010-05-13 | 888 | D+8.4 | D+7.7 | D+0.8 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.