Vox Populi Polling
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 19
- Mean absolute error
- 3.96percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+0.55
- Represented cycles
- 32014–2018
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 14, 2014through Oct 29, 2018
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2014 · 2015 · 2018
19 eligible historical polls across 3 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
19 shown · 19 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | FL · Senate | Sen-G | 2018-10-29 | 696 | 0 | R+0.1 | D+0.1 |
| 2018 | AZ · Senate | Sen-G | 2018-10-29 | 677 | D+4.0 | D+2.3 | D+1.7 |
| 2018 | FL · Governor | Gov-G | 2018-10-29 | 696 | D+6.0 | R+0.4 | D+6.4 |
| 2018 | AZ · Governor | Gov-G | 2018-10-29 | 677 | R+8.0 | R+14.2 | D+6.2 |
| 2018 | TN · Senate | Sen-G | 2018-10-28 | 780 | R+6.0 | R+10.8 | D+4.8 |
| 2018 | NJ · Senate | Sen-G | 2018-10-28 | 814 | D+8.0 | D+11.2 | R+3.2 |
| 2018 | TN · Governor | Gov-G | 2018-10-28 | 780 | R+12.0 | R+21.0 | D+9.0 |
| 2015 | KY · Governor | Gov-G | 2015-10-27 | 618 | 0 | R+8.7 | D+8.7 |
| 2014 | LA · Senate | Sen-G | 2014-11-17 | 761 | R+11.0 | R+11.9 | D+0.9 |
| 2014 | VA · Senate | Sen-G | 2014-10-28 | 734 | D+4.0 | D+0.8 | D+3.2 |
| 2014 | NH · Senate | Sen-G | 2014-10-28 | 544 | R+4.0 | D+3.3 | R+7.3 |
| 2014 | GA · Senate | Sen-G | 2014-10-28 | 602 | R+5.0 | R+7.7 | D+2.7 |
| 2014 | NH · Governor | Gov-G | 2014-10-28 | 638 | R+3.0 | D+5.0 | R+8.0 |
| 2014 | GA · Governor | Gov-G | 2014-10-28 | 602 | R+7.0 | R+7.9 | D+0.9 |
| 2014 | NC · Senate | Sen-G | 2014-10-27 | 615 | R+5.0 | R+1.6 | R+3.4 |
| 2014 | CO · Senate | Sen-G | 2014-10-27 | 642 | R+3.0 | R+1.9 | R+1.1 |
| 2014 | CO · Governor | Gov-G | 2014-10-27 | 642 | D+5.0 | D+3.3 | D+1.7 |
| 2014 | NM · Senate | Sen-G | 2014-10-21 | 614 | D+6.0 | D+11.1 | R+5.1 |
| 2014 | LA · Senate | Sen-G | 2014-10-14 | 546 | 0 | D+1.1 | R+1.1 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.