University of Wyoming Survey & Analysis Center
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 5
- Mean absolute error
- 12.21percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+3.59
- Represented cycles
- 22020–2022
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 18, 2020through Oct 28, 2022
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2020 · 2022
5 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
5 shown · 5 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022_House-G_WY-1 | House-G | 2022-10-28 | 436 | R+39.4 | R+44.9 | D+5.5 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_WY | Gov-G | 2022-10-28 | 436 | R+52.3 | R+61.9 | D+9.6 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_WY | Sen-G | 2020-10-18 | 614 | R+30.0 | R+46.3 | D+16.3 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_WY | Pres-G | 2020-10-18 | 614 | R+28.0 | R+43.7 | D+15.7 |
| 2020 | 2020_House-G_WY-1 | House-G | 2020-10-18 | 614 | R+30.0 | R+44.1 | D+14.1 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.