University of South Alabama Polling Group
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 9
- Mean absolute error
- 3.69percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+1.26
- Represented cycles
- 51998–2010
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 21, 1998through Oct 14, 2010
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 1998 · 2000 · 2002 · 2008 · 2010
9 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
9 shown · 9 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | AL · Governor | Gov-G | 2010-10-14 | 777 | R+13.0 | R+15.8 | D+2.8 |
| 2008 | MS · Senate | Sen-G | 2008-10-18 | 405 | R+13.0 | R+9.9 | R+3.1 |
| 2008 | MS · President | Pres-G | 2008-10-18 | 405 | R+13.0 | R+13.2 | D+0.2 |
| 2002 | AL · Senate | Sen-G | 2002-10-23 | 926 | R+30.0 | R+18.8 | R+11.2 |
| 2002 | AL · Governor | Gov-G | 2002-10-23 | 926 | R+4.0 | R+0.2 | R+3.8 |
| 2000 | AL · President | Pres-G | 2000-11-01 | 442 | R+20.0 | R+14.9 | R+5.1 |
| 2000 | AL · President | Pres-G | 2000-10-18 | 407 | R+20.0 | R+14.9 | R+5.1 |
| 1998 | AL · Governor | Gov-G | 1998-10-28 | 820 | D+16.0 | D+15.6 | D+0.4 |
| 1998 | AL · Governor | Gov-G | 1998-10-21 | 820 | D+14.0 | D+15.6 | R+1.6 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.