University of New Orleans Survey Research Center
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 12
- Mean absolute error
- 5.36percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+0.55
- Represented cycles
- 91999–2020
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 7, 1999through Oct 22, 2020
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 1999 · 2000 · 2002 · 2003 · 2004 · 2014 · 2015 · 2016 · 2020
12 eligible historical polls across 9 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
12 shown · 12 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_LA | Pres-G | 2020-10-22 | 755 | R+22.9 | R+18.6 | R+4.3 |
| 2016 | 2016_Sen-GR_LA | Sen-G | 2016-12-06 | 776 | R+29.0 | R+21.3 | R+7.7 |
| 2016 | 2016_Sen-O_LA | Sen-G | 2016-10-18 | 603 | R+7.0 | R+7.5 | D+0.5 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_LA | Pres-G | 2016-10-18 | 603 | R+14.0 | R+19.6 | D+5.6 |
| 2015 | 2015_Gov-GR_LA | Gov-G | 2015-11-14 | 578 | D+20.0 | D+12.2 | D+7.8 |
| 2015 | 2015_Gov-GR_LA | Gov-G | 2015-11-05 | 600 | D+22.0 | D+12.2 | D+9.8 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-O_LA | Sen-G | 2014-10-18 | 292 | D+5.0 | D+1.1 | D+3.9 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_LA | Pres-G | 2004-10-17 | 700 | R+8.0 | R+14.5 | D+6.5 |
| 2003 | 2003_Gov-GR_LA | Gov-G | 2003-10-29 | 731 | R+2.0 | D+3.9 | R+5.9 |
| 2002 | 2002_Sen-GR_LA | Sen-G | 2002-11-26 | 700 | D+1.0 | D+3.4 | R+2.4 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_LA | Pres-G | 2000-10-19 | 461 | R+13.0 | R+7.7 | R+5.3 |
| 1999 | 1999_Gov-O_LA | Gov-G | 1999-10-07 | 803 | R+28.0 | R+32.6 | D+4.6 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.