Senate
Ossoff +8Georgia · Senate
Jon Ossoff 48% · Mike Collins 40%
- Field dates
- Oct 7–Oct 15, 2026
- Sample
- 1,000 LV
- Sponsor / client
- The Atlanta Journal-Constitution
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Pollster file
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 7
- Mean absolute error
- 2.23percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+0.50
- Represented cycles
- 42018–2024
- Current archive
- 1canonical records
- History span
- Oct 26, 2018through Oct 16, 2024
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2018 · 2020 · 2022 · 2024
7 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
1 shown · 1 total
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
7 shown · 7 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | GA · President | Pres-G | 2024-10-16 | — | R+4.0 | R+2.2 | R+1.8 |
| 2022 | GA · Senate | Sen-G | 2022-10-22 | 1,022 | R+0.3 | D+1.0 | R+1.3 |
| 2022 | GA · Governor | Gov-G | 2022-10-22 | 1,022 | R+6.8 | R+7.5 | D+0.7 |
| 2020 | GA · Senate | Sen-G | 2020-10-19 | 1,145 | D+14.3 | D+7.0 | D+7.3 |
| 2020 | GA · Senate | Sen-G | 2020-10-19 | 1,145 | D+1.1 | R+1.8 | D+2.9 |
| 2020 | GA · President | Pres-G | 2020-10-19 | 1,145 | D+0.3 | D+0.2 | D+0.1 |
| 2018 | GA · Governor | Gov-G | 2018-10-26 | 1,091 | D+0.2 | R+1.4 | D+1.6 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.