University of Connecticut
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 11
- Mean absolute error
- 3.64percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+0.47
- Represented cycles
- 42002–2008
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 18, 2002through Oct 20, 2008
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2002 · 2004 · 2006 · 2008
11 eligible historical polls across 4 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
11 shown · 11 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_CT | Pres-G | 2008-10-20 | 502 | D+25.0 | D+22.4 | D+2.6 |
| 2006 | 2006_House-G_CT-5 | House-G | 2006-10-26 | 762 | D+4.0 | D+12.9 | R+8.9 |
| 2006 | 2006_House-G_CT-4 | House-G | 2006-10-19 | 805 | 0 | R+3.4 | D+3.4 |
| 2004 | 2004_House-G_CT-2 | House-G | 2004-10-28 | 400 | R+3.0 | R+8.4 | D+5.4 |
| 2004 | 2004_House-G_CT-4 | House-G | 2004-10-27 | 400 | R+5.0 | R+4.9 | R+0.1 |
| 2004 | 2004_House-G_CT-2 | House-G | 2004-10-17 | 402 | R+9.0 | R+8.4 | R+0.6 |
| 2004 | 2004_House-G_CT-4 | House-G | 2004-10-12 | 411 | R+8.0 | R+4.9 | R+3.1 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_CT-2 | House-G | 2002-11-02 | 376 | R+5.0 | R+8.2 | D+3.2 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_CT-5 | House-G | 2002-10-28 | 642 | R+17.0 | R+11.0 | R+6.0 |
| 2002 | 2002_House-G_CT-2 | House-G | 2002-10-27 | 624 | R+12.0 | R+8.2 | R+3.8 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_CT | Gov-G | 2002-10-18 | 608 | R+15.0 | R+12.2 | R+2.8 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.