University of Cincinnati (Ohio Poll)
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 30
- Mean absolute error
- 3.97percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+2.29
- Represented cycles
- 81998–2012
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 13, 1998through Nov 2, 2012
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 1998 · 2000 · 2002 · 2004 · 2006 · 2008 · 2010 · 2012
30 eligible historical polls across 8 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
30 shown · 30 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_OH | Sen-G | 2012-11-02 | 901 | D+3.8 | D+6.0 | R+2.2 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2012-11-02 | 901 | D+1.5 | D+3.0 | R+1.5 |
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_OH | Sen-G | 2012-10-28 | 1,182 | D+5.0 | D+6.0 | R+1.0 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2012-10-28 | 1,182 | D+2.0 | D+3.0 | R+1.0 |
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_OH | Sen-G | 2012-10-21 | 1,015 | D+4.0 | D+6.0 | R+2.0 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2012-10-21 | 1,015 | 0 | D+3.0 | R+3.0 |
| 2010 | 2010_Sen-G_OH | Sen-G | 2010-10-29 | 930 | R+21.0 | R+17.4 | R+3.6 |
| 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_OH | Gov-G | 2010-10-29 | 930 | R+4.0 | R+2.0 | R+2.0 |
| 2010 | 2010_Sen-G_OH | Sen-G | 2010-10-16 | 839 | R+19.0 | R+17.4 | R+1.6 |
| 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_OH | Gov-G | 2010-10-16 | 839 | R+2.0 | R+2.0 | 0 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2008-10-31 | 1,221 | D+6.0 | D+4.6 | D+1.4 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2008-10-20 | 886 | D+3.0 | D+4.6 | R+1.6 |
| 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_OH | Sen-G | 2006-11-03 | 1,008 | D+12.0 | D+12.3 | R+0.3 |
| 2006 | 2006_Gov-G_OH | Gov-G | 2006-11-03 | 1,008 | D+22.0 | D+23.9 | R+1.9 |
| 2004 | 2004_Sen-G_OH | Sen-G | 2004-10-29 | 823 | R+30.0 | R+27.7 | R+2.3 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2004-10-29 | 819 | R+1.0 | R+2.1 | D+1.1 |
| 2004 | 2004_Sen-G_OH | Sen-G | 2004-10-14 | 600 | R+27.0 | R+27.7 | D+0.7 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2004-10-14 | 757 | D+2.0 | R+2.1 | D+4.1 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_OH | Gov-G | 2002-11-01 | 666 | R+18.7 | R+19.4 | D+0.8 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_OH | Gov-G | 2002-10-15 | 471 | R+16.0 | R+19.4 | D+3.5 |
| 2000 | 2000_Sen-G_OH | Sen-G | 2000-11-03 | 1,179 | R+28.9 | R+24.1 | R+4.8 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2000-11-03 | 1,273 | R+10.0 | R+3.5 | R+6.5 |
| 2000 | 2000_Sen-G_OH | Sen-G | 2000-10-22 | 608 | R+25.0 | R+24.1 | R+0.9 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2000-10-22 | 666 | R+8.0 | R+3.5 | R+4.5 |
| 1998 | 1998_Sen-G_OH | Sen-G | 1998-10-26 | 1,196 | R+24.0 | R+12.9 | R+11.1 |
| 1998 | 1998_Gov-G_OH | Gov-G | 1998-10-26 | 1,196 | R+11.0 | R+5.4 | R+5.6 |
| 1998 | 1998_Sen-G_OH | Sen-G | 1998-10-24 | 733 | R+28.0 | R+12.9 | R+15.1 |
| 1998 | 1998_Gov-G_OH | Gov-G | 1998-10-24 | 708 | R+16.0 | R+5.4 | R+10.6 |
| 1998 | 1998_Sen-G_OH | Sen-G | 1998-10-13 | 540 | R+28.0 | R+12.9 | R+15.1 |
| 1998 | 1998_Gov-G_OH | Gov-G | 1998-10-13 | 540 | R+15.0 | R+5.4 | R+9.6 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.