The Political Matrix/The Listener Group
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 11
- Mean absolute error
- 7.77percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+2.16
- Represented cycles
- 32018–2022
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 20, 2018through Nov 7, 2022
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Participating organizations
- The Political Matrix · The Listener Group
- Cycles represented
- 2018 · 2020 · 2022
11 eligible historical polls across 3 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
11 shown · 11 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_FL | Gov-G | 2022-11-07 | 722 | R+4.0 | R+19.4 | D+15.4 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_PA | Sen-G | 2022-11-06 | 800 | D+6.0 | D+4.9 | D+1.1 |
| 2022 | 2022_Sen-G_GA | Sen-G | 2022-11-06 | 690 | D+18.0 | D+1.0 | D+17.0 |
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_FL | Gov-G | 2022-10-28 | 633 | D+6.8 | R+19.4 | D+26.2 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_FL | Pres-G | 2020-11-02 | 966 | R+3.8 | R+3.4 | R+0.4 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_FL | Pres-G | 2020-10-27 | 900 | D+0.5 | R+3.4 | D+3.9 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_FL | Pres-G | 2020-10-23 | 895 | R+4.1 | R+3.4 | R+0.7 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_FL | Pres-G | 2020-10-19 | 1,431 | R+13.3 | R+3.4 | R+9.9 |
| 2018 | 2018_Sen-G_FL | Sen-G | 2018-10-29 | 1,193 | D+0.4 | R+0.1 | D+0.5 |
| 2018 | 2018_Gov-G_FL | Gov-G | 2018-10-29 | 1,193 | R+7.2 | R+0.4 | R+6.8 |
| 2018 | 2018_House-G_FL-1 | House-G | 2018-10-20 | 730 | R+30.7 | R+34.1 | D+3.4 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.