Swayable
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 68
- Mean absolute error
- 5.78percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+4.37
- Represented cycles
- 12020
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 25, 2020through Nov 1, 2020
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2020
All 68 eligible historical polls come from one cycle, so this record does not yet describe performance across elections.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
18 shown · 68 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_WI | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 313 | D+8.8 | D+0.6 | D+8.2 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_VA | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 351 | D+10.9 | D+10.2 | D+0.7 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 11,714 | D+5.7 | D+4.5 | D+1.2 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_TX | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 552 | R+1.1 | R+5.6 | D+4.5 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_PA | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 491 | D+5.8 | D+1.2 | D+4.6 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 440 | R+11.7 | R+8.0 | R+3.7 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_NY | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 495 | D+32.6 | D+23.1 | D+9.5 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_NJ | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 386 | D+24.1 | D+15.9 | D+8.2 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_NC | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 396 | D+2.7 | R+1.4 | D+4.0 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_MI | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 394 | D+19.0 | D+2.8 | D+16.2 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_IN | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 301 | R+10.6 | R+16.1 | D+5.5 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_IL | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 424 | D+11.1 | D+17.0 | R+5.9 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_GA | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 373 | D+2.4 | D+0.2 | D+2.2 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_FL | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 605 | R+4.2 | R+3.4 | R+0.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_CA | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 635 | D+26.7 | D+29.2 | R+2.5 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_AZ | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 304 | D+8.6 | D+0.3 | D+8.3 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_AL | Pres-G | 2020-10-25 | 266 | R+18.6 | R+25.5 | D+6.9 |
| 2020 | 2020_Gov-G_NC | Gov-G | 2020-10-25 | 386 | D+9.0 | D+4.5 | D+4.5 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.