Swayable
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 68
- Mean absolute error
- 5.78percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+4.37
- Represented cycles
- 12020
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 25, 2020through Nov 1, 2020
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2020
All 68 eligible historical polls come from one cycle, so this record does not yet describe performance across elections.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
50 shown · 68 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2020-11-01 | 5,174 | D+5.7 | D+4.5 | D+1.2 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_VA | Sen-G | 2020-10-30 | 283 | D+21.4 | D+12.1 | D+9.3 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_TX | Sen-G | 2020-10-30 | 1,042 | R+13.0 | R+9.6 | R+3.4 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_NC | Sen-G | 2020-10-30 | 619 | D+6.4 | R+1.8 | D+8.2 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_MI | Sen-G | 2020-10-30 | 393 | D+7.2 | D+1.7 | D+5.5 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_GA | Sen-G | 2020-10-30 | 407 | R+1.3 | R+1.8 | D+0.5 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_AL | Sen-G | 2020-10-30 | 294 | R+15.3 | R+20.4 | D+5.1 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-GS_AZ | Sen-G | 2020-10-30 | 333 | D+10.0 | D+2.4 | D+7.7 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_WI | Pres-G | 2020-10-30 | 253 | D+9.7 | D+0.6 | D+9.1 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_VA | Pres-G | 2020-10-30 | 467 | D+15.0 | D+10.2 | D+4.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2020-10-30 | 3,115 | D+5.6 | D+4.5 | D+1.1 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_TX | Pres-G | 2020-10-30 | 1,151 | R+4.0 | R+5.6 | D+1.6 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_PA | Pres-G | 2020-10-30 | 1,107 | D+1.5 | D+1.2 | D+0.3 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_OH | Pres-G | 2020-10-30 | 516 | R+5.2 | R+8.0 | D+2.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_NJ | Pres-G | 2020-10-30 | 324 | D+18.9 | D+15.9 | D+3.0 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_NC | Pres-G | 2020-10-30 | 690 | D+5.9 | R+1.4 | D+7.3 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_MI | Pres-G | 2020-10-30 | 413 | D+8.7 | D+2.8 | D+5.9 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_IN | Pres-G | 2020-10-30 | 264 | R+12.2 | R+16.1 | D+3.9 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_IL | Pres-G | 2020-10-30 | 485 | D+11.5 | D+17.0 | R+5.5 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_GA | Pres-G | 2020-10-30 | 438 | D+9.3 | D+0.2 | D+9.1 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_FL | Pres-G | 2020-10-30 | 1,261 | D+7.5 | R+3.4 | D+10.9 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_AZ | Pres-G | 2020-10-30 | 360 | D+4.9 | D+0.3 | D+4.6 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_AL | Pres-G | 2020-10-30 | 330 | R+17.2 | R+25.5 | D+8.3 |
| 2020 | 2020_Gov-G_NC | Gov-G | 2020-10-30 | 655 | D+12.5 | D+4.5 | D+8.0 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_TN | Sen-G | 2020-10-28 | 431 | R+21.4 | R+27.0 | D+5.6 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_SC | Sen-G | 2020-10-28 | 416 | D+5.9 | R+10.3 | D+16.2 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_MN | Sen-G | 2020-10-28 | 430 | D+9.0 | D+5.2 | D+3.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_KY | Sen-G | 2020-10-28 | 365 | R+2.8 | R+19.5 | D+16.7 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_CO | Sen-G | 2020-10-28 | 443 | D+13.8 | D+9.3 | D+4.5 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_WA | Pres-G | 2020-10-28 | 489 | D+20.3 | D+19.3 | D+1.0 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2020-10-28 | 2,386 | D+7.2 | D+4.5 | D+2.7 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_TN | Pres-G | 2020-10-28 | 485 | R+16.7 | R+23.2 | D+6.5 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_SC | Pres-G | 2020-10-28 | 426 | R+0.9 | R+11.7 | D+10.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_OR | Pres-G | 2020-10-28 | 324 | D+23.2 | D+16.2 | D+7.0 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_MO | Pres-G | 2020-10-28 | 487 | R+11.2 | R+15.4 | D+4.2 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_MN | Pres-G | 2020-10-28 | 466 | D+9.3 | D+7.1 | D+2.2 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_MD | Pres-G | 2020-10-28 | 503 | D+35.9 | D+33.4 | D+2.5 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_LA | Pres-G | 2020-10-28 | 378 | R+17.5 | R+18.6 | D+1.1 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_KY | Pres-G | 2020-10-28 | 383 | R+13.5 | R+25.9 | D+12.4 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_CT | Pres-G | 2020-10-28 | 367 | D+30.4 | D+20.1 | D+10.3 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_CO | Pres-G | 2020-10-28 | 455 | D+14.7 | D+13.5 | D+1.2 |
| 2020 | 2020_Gov-G_WA | Gov-G | 2020-10-28 | 474 | D+18.2 | D+13.5 | D+4.7 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_VA | Sen-G | 2020-10-25 | 332 | D+19.4 | D+12.1 | D+7.3 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_TX | Sen-G | 2020-10-25 | 492 | R+4.8 | R+9.6 | D+4.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_NJ | Sen-G | 2020-10-25 | 363 | D+22.0 | D+16.3 | D+5.7 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_NC | Sen-G | 2020-10-25 | 363 | R+0.6 | R+1.8 | D+1.1 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_MI | Sen-G | 2020-10-25 | 365 | D+16.8 | D+1.7 | D+15.1 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_GA | Sen-G | 2020-10-25 | 342 | R+1.6 | R+1.8 | D+0.2 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_AL | Sen-G | 2020-10-25 | 232 | R+8.8 | R+20.4 | D+11.6 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-GS_AZ | Sen-G | 2020-10-25 | 286 | D+11.6 | D+2.4 | D+9.3 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.