Approval
Disapprove +28Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 36% · Disapprove 64%
- Field dates
- Aug 20–Sep 1, 2026
- Sample
- 7,105 A
- Sponsor / client
- Not reported in archive
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Pollster file
SurveyMonkey
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 255
- Mean absolute error
- 6.48percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+4.93
- Represented cycles
- 42016–2020
- Current archive
- 8canonical records
- History span
- Oct 20, 2016through Nov 1, 2020
Identity
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2016 · 2017 · 2019 · 2020
255 eligible historical polls across 4 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Canonical 2025–2026 archive
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
8 shown · 8 total
Approval
Disapprove +26Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 37% · Disapprove 63%
- Field dates
- Mar 30–Apr 13, 2026
- Sample
- 32,433 A
- Sponsor / client
- NBC News Decision Desk
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +22Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 39% · Disapprove 61%
- Field dates
- Jan 27–Feb 6, 2026
- Sample
- 21,995 A
- Sponsor / client
- NBC News Decision Desk
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +16Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 42% · Disapprove 58%
- Field dates
- Nov 20–Dec 8, 2025
- Sample
- 20,252 A
- Sponsor / client
- NBC News Decision Desk
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +12Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 43% · Disapprove 55%
- Field dates
- Sep 8–Sep 15, 2025
- Sample
- 20,807 A
- Sponsor / client
- The 19th
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +14Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 43% · Disapprove 57%
- Field dates
- Aug 13–Sep 1, 2025
- Sample
- 30,196 A
- Sponsor / client
- NBC News
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +10Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 45% · Disapprove 55%
- Field dates
- May 30–Jun 10, 2025
- Sample
- 19,410 A
- Sponsor / client
- NBC News
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Approval
Disapprove +10Presidential approval · Approval
Approve 45% · Disapprove 55%
- Field dates
- Apr 11–Apr 20, 2025
- Sample
- 19,682 A
- Sponsor / client
- NBC News
- Partisan sponsorship
- No partisan sponsorship flag
Certified-result history
Eligible historical observations
5 shown · 255 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 2016_Gov-GS_OR | Gov-G | 2016-10-28 | 743 | D+12.0 | D+7.2 | D+4.8 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2016-10-27 | 40,816 | D+6.5 | D+2.1 | D+4.4 |
| 2016 | 2016_House-G_US | House-G | 2016-10-27 | 43,003 | D+3.0 | R+1.1 | D+4.1 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_US | Pres-G | 2016-10-20 | 32,225 | D+5.5 | D+2.1 | D+3.4 |
| 2016 | 2016_House-G_US | House-G | 2016-10-20 | 34,203 | D+2.0 | R+1.1 | D+3.1 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.