← Pollster performance Filter the Full Poll Archive →

Pollster file

SurveyMonkey

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls: 255
Mean absolute error: 6.48percentage points
Historical bias: D+4.93
Represented cycles: 42016–2020
Current archive: 8canonical records
History span: Oct 20, 2016through Nov 1, 2020

Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases: No additional reviewed aliases
Organization type: Single canonical organization
Cycles represented: 2016 · 2017 · 2019 · 2020

255 eligible historical polls across 4 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

8 shown · 8 total

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +28

Approve 36% · Disapprove 64%

Field dates: Aug 20–Sep 1, 2026
Sample: 7,105 A
Sponsor / client: Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +26

Approve 37% · Disapprove 63%

Field dates: Mar 30–Apr 13, 2026
Sample: 32,433 A
Sponsor / client: NBC News Decision Desk
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +22

Approve 39% · Disapprove 61%

Field dates: Jan 27–Feb 6, 2026
Sample: 21,995 A
Sponsor / client: NBC News Decision Desk
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +16

Approve 42% · Disapprove 58%

Field dates: Nov 20–Dec 8, 2025
Sample: 20,252 A
Sponsor / client: NBC News Decision Desk
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +12

Approve 43% · Disapprove 55%

Field dates: Sep 8–Sep 15, 2025
Sample: 20,807 A
Sponsor / client: The 19th
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +14

Approve 43% · Disapprove 57%

Field dates: Aug 13–Sep 1, 2025
Sample: 30,196 A
Sponsor / client: NBC News
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +10

Approve 45% · Disapprove 55%

Field dates: May 30–Jun 10, 2025
Sample: 19,410 A
Sponsor / client: NBC News
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

Approval

Presidential approval · Approval

Disapprove +10

Approve 45% · Disapprove 55%

Field dates: Apr 11–Apr 20, 2025
Sample: 19,682 A
Sponsor / client: NBC News
Partisan sponsorship: No partisan sponsorship flag

See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →

Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

50 shown · 255 total

Cycle	Race	Type	Field end	Sample	Poll	Result	Error
2016	2016_Pres-G_PA	Pres-G	2016-10-28	2,255	D+8.0	R+0.7	D+8.7
2016	2016_Pres-G_OR	Pres-G	2016-10-28	743	D+15.0	D+11.4	D+3.6
2016	2016_Pres-G_OK	Pres-G	2016-10-28	472	R+23.0	R+36.4	D+13.4
2016	2016_Pres-G_OH	Pres-G	2016-10-28	1,823	R+5.0	R+8.1	D+3.1
2016	2016_Pres-G_NY	Pres-G	2016-10-28	1,734	D+23.0	D+22.6	D+0.4
2016	2016_Pres-G_NV	Pres-G	2016-10-28	1,010	D+1.0	D+2.5	R+1.5
2016	2016_Pres-G_NM	Pres-G	2016-10-28	987	D+10.0	D+8.2	D+1.8
2016	2016_Pres-G_NJ	Pres-G	2016-10-28	724	D+20.0	D+14.1	D+5.9
2016	2016_Pres-G_NH	Pres-G	2016-10-28	659	D+13.0	D+0.4	D+12.6
2016	2016_Pres-G_NE	Pres-G	2016-10-28	412	R+20.0	R+25.5	D+5.5
2016	2016_Pres-G_ND	Pres-G	2016-10-28	279	R+22.0	R+36.4	D+14.4
2016	2016_Pres-G_NC	Pres-G	2016-10-28	1,574	D+3.0	R+3.7	D+6.7
2016	2016_Pres-G_MT	Pres-G	2016-10-28	405	R+13.0	R+20.4	D+7.4
2016	2016_Pres-G_MS	Pres-G	2016-10-28	648	R+7.0	R+17.8	D+10.8
2016	2016_Pres-G_MO	Pres-G	2016-10-28	671	R+7.0	R+18.6	D+11.6
2016	2016_Pres-G_MN	Pres-G	2016-10-28	773	D+9.0	D+1.5	D+7.5
2016	2016_Pres-G_MI	Pres-G	2016-10-28	1,649	D+1.0	R+0.2	D+1.2
2016	2016_Pres-G_ME	Pres-G	2016-10-28	432	D+12.0	D+3.0	D+9.0
2016	2016_Pres-G_MD	Pres-G	2016-10-28	740	D+36.0	D+26.7	D+9.3
2016	2016_Pres-G_MA	Pres-G	2016-10-28	796	D+29.0	D+27.6	D+1.4
2016	2016_Pres-G_LA	Pres-G	2016-10-28	423	R+13.0	R+19.6	D+6.6
2016	2016_Pres-G_KY	Pres-G	2016-10-28	424	R+27.0	R+29.8	D+2.8
2016	2016_Pres-G_KS	Pres-G	2016-10-28	1,273	R+11.0	R+20.6	D+9.6
2016	2016_Pres-G_IN	Pres-G	2016-10-28	674	R+14.0	R+19.2	D+5.2
2016	2016_Pres-G_IL	Pres-G	2016-10-28	1,003	D+17.0	D+17.1	R+0.1
2016	2016_Pres-G_ID	Pres-G	2016-10-28	447	R+18.0	R+31.8	D+13.8
2016	2016_Pres-G_IA	Pres-G	2016-10-28	984	R+5.0	R+9.5	D+4.5
2016	2016_Pres-G_HI	Pres-G	2016-10-28	467	D+19.0	D+32.2	R+13.2
2016	2016_Pres-G_GA	Pres-G	2016-10-28	2,665	R+2.0	R+5.1	D+3.1
2016	2016_Pres-G_FL	Pres-G	2016-10-28	2,809	D+1.0	R+1.2	D+2.2
2016	2016_Pres-G_DE	Pres-G	2016-10-28	458	D+12.0	D+11.4	D+0.6
2016	2016_Pres-G_DC	Pres-G	2016-10-28	332	D+84.0	D+88.6	R+4.6
2016	2016_Pres-G_CT	Pres-G	2016-10-28	554	D+12.0	D+13.6	R+1.6
2016	2016_Pres-G_CO	Pres-G	2016-10-28	1,532	D+4.0	D+4.9	R+0.9
2016	2016_Pres-G_CA	Pres-G	2016-10-28	2,505	D+25.0	D+30.1	R+5.1
2016	2016_Pres-G_AZ	Pres-G	2016-10-28	1,457	R+1.0	R+3.5	D+2.5
2016	2016_Pres-G_AR	Pres-G	2016-10-28	484	R+13.0	R+26.9	D+13.9
2016	2016_Pres-G_AL	Pres-G	2016-10-28	485	R+20.0	R+28.0	D+8.0
2016	2016_Pres-G_AK	Pres-G	2016-10-28	300	R+8.0	R+15.2	D+7.2
2016	2016_Gov-G_WV	Gov-G	2016-10-28	321	R+1.0	D+6.8	R+7.8
2016	2016_Gov-G_WA	Gov-G	2016-10-28	745	D+13.0	D+8.8	D+4.2
2016	2016_Gov-G_VT	Gov-G	2016-10-28	436	R+7.0	R+8.8	D+1.8
2016	2016_Gov-G_UT	Gov-G	2016-10-28	1,078	R+26.0	R+38.0	D+12.0
2016	2016_Gov-G_NH	Gov-G	2016-10-28	659	D+10.0	R+2.3	D+12.3
2016	2016_Gov-G_ND	Gov-G	2016-10-28	279	R+39.0	R+57.2	D+18.2
2016	2016_Gov-G_NC	Gov-G	2016-10-28	1,574	D+6.0	D+0.2	D+5.8
2016	2016_Gov-G_MT	Gov-G	2016-10-28	405	D+14.0	D+3.9	D+10.1
2016	2016_Gov-G_MO	Gov-G	2016-10-28	671	D+10.0	R+5.6	D+15.6
2016	2016_Gov-G_IN	Gov-G	2016-10-28	674	D+1.0	R+6.0	D+7.0
2016	2016_Gov-G_DE	Gov-G	2016-10-28	458	D+24.0	D+19.1	D+4.8

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.