Stockton University
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 12
- Mean absolute error
- 4.40percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+1.48
- Represented cycles
- 72013–2021
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 6, 2013through Oct 22, 2021
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2013 · 2014 · 2016 · 2017 · 2018 · 2020 · 2021
12 eligible historical polls across 7 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
12 shown · 12 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 2021_Gov-G_NJ | Gov-G | 2021-10-22 | 522 | D+9.0 | D+3.2 | D+5.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_House-G_NJ-2 | House-G | 2020-10-25 | 676 | D+1.0 | R+5.8 | D+6.8 |
| 2018 | 2018_Sen-G_NJ | Sen-G | 2018-10-28 | 598 | D+12.0 | D+11.2 | D+0.8 |
| 2018 | 2018_House-G_NJ-2 | House-G | 2018-10-20 | 597 | D+17.0 | D+7.7 | D+9.3 |
| 2017 | 2017_Gov-G_NJ | Gov-G | 2017-10-21 | 525 | D+14.0 | D+14.1 | R+0.1 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_NJ | Pres-G | 2016-10-30 | 678 | D+11.0 | D+14.1 | R+3.1 |
| 2016 | 2016_House-G_NJ-2 | House-G | 2016-10-21 | 625 | R+25.5 | R+22.0 | R+3.5 |
| 2014 | 2014_House-G_NJ-3 | House-G | 2014-10-27 | 617 | R+5.0 | R+9.6 | D+4.6 |
| 2014 | 2014_House-G_NJ-2 | House-G | 2014-10-26 | 600 | R+18.0 | R+24.2 | D+6.2 |
| 2014 | 2014_Sen-G_NJ | Sen-G | 2014-10-20 | 806 | D+24.0 | D+13.5 | D+10.5 |
| 2013 | 2013_Gov-G_NJ | Gov-G | 2013-10-26 | 804 | R+24.0 | R+22.1 | R+1.9 |
| 2013 | 2013_Sen-GS_NJ | Sen-G | 2013-10-06 | 729 | D+11.0 | D+10.9 | D+0.1 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.