St. Norbert College Strategic Research Institute
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 11
- Mean absolute error
- 5.03percentage points
- Historical bias
- R+0.02
- Represented cycles
- 71998–2014
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 14, 1998through Oct 20, 2014
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 1998 · 2000 · 2002 · 2006 · 2010 · 2012 · 2014
11 eligible historical polls across 7 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
11 shown · 11 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 2014_Gov-G_WI | Gov-G | 2014-10-20 | 525 | R+1.0 | R+5.7 | D+4.7 |
| 2012 | 2012_Sen-G_WI | Sen-G | 2012-10-27 | 402 | R+3.0 | D+5.5 | R+8.6 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_WI | Pres-G | 2012-10-27 | 402 | D+9.0 | D+6.8 | D+2.1 |
| 2012 | 2012_Gov-GS_WI | Gov-G | 2012-05-20 | 406 | R+5.0 | R+6.8 | D+1.8 |
| 2010 | 2010_Sen-G_WI | Sen-G | 2010-10-14 | 402 | R+2.0 | R+4.8 | D+2.8 |
| 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_WI | Gov-G | 2010-10-14 | 402 | R+9.0 | R+5.8 | R+3.2 |
| 2006 | 2006_House-G_WI-8 | House-G | 2006-10-21 | 400 | 0 | D+2.1 | R+2.1 |
| 2002 | 2002_Gov-G_WI | Gov-G | 2002-10-22 | 382 | D+8.0 | D+3.7 | D+4.3 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_WI | Pres-G | 2000-10-21 | 413 | D+7.0 | D+0.2 | D+6.8 |
| 1998 | 1998_Sen-G_WI | Sen-G | 1998-10-14 | 415 | D+7.0 | D+2.1 | D+4.8 |
| 1998 | 1998_Gov-G_WI | Gov-G | 1998-10-14 | 415 | R+35.0 | R+21.0 | R+14.0 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.