St. Cloud State University
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 16
- Mean absolute error
- 6.92percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+2.55
- Represented cycles
- 102000–2022
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 19, 2000through Oct 20, 2022
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 2000 · 2004 · 2006 · 2008 · 2010 · 2012 · 2016 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022
16 eligible historical polls across 10 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
16 shown · 16 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 2022_Gov-G_MN | Gov-G | 2022-10-20 | 219 | D+21.0 | D+7.7 | D+13.3 |
| 2020 | 2020_Sen-G_MN | Sen-G | 2020-10-20 | 372 | D+17.0 | D+5.2 | D+11.8 |
| 2020 | 2020_Pres-G_MN | Pres-G | 2020-10-20 | 372 | D+15.0 | D+7.1 | D+7.9 |
| 2018 | 2018_Sen-G_MN | Sen-G | 2018-10-23 | 420 | D+26.0 | D+24.1 | D+1.9 |
| 2018 | 2018_Sen-GS_MN | Sen-G | 2018-10-23 | 420 | D+15.0 | D+10.6 | D+4.4 |
| 2018 | 2018_Gov-G_MN | Gov-G | 2018-10-23 | 404 | D+16.0 | D+11.4 | D+4.6 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_MN | Pres-G | 2016-10-25 | 600 | D+11.0 | D+1.5 | D+9.5 |
| 2012 | 2012_Pres-G_MN | Pres-G | 2012-10-18 | 601 | D+8.0 | D+7.7 | D+0.3 |
| 2010 | 2010_Gov-G_MN | Gov-G | 2010-10-16 | 462 | D+10.0 | D+0.4 | D+9.6 |
| 2008 | 2008_Sen-G_MN | Sen-G | 2008-10-18 | 509 | R+9.0 | D+0.0 | R+9.0 |
| 2008 | 2008_Pres-G_MN | Pres-G | 2008-10-18 | 509 | D+5.0 | D+10.3 | R+5.3 |
| 2006 | 2006_Sen-G_MN | Sen-G | 2006-10-21 | 504 | D+25.0 | D+20.1 | D+4.9 |
| 2006 | 2006_Gov-G_MN | Gov-G | 2006-10-21 | 504 | D+9.0 | R+1.0 | D+10.0 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_MN | Pres-G | 2004-10-22 | 508 | D+7.0 | D+3.5 | D+3.5 |
| 2000 | 2000_Sen-G_MN | Sen-G | 2000-10-19 | 514 | D+15.0 | D+5.5 | D+9.5 |
| 2000 | 2000_Pres-G_MN | Pres-G | 2000-10-19 | 514 | R+3.0 | D+2.4 | R+5.4 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.