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Pollster file

SSRS

Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.

Historical polls
30
Mean absolute error
5.37percentage points
Historical bias
D+3.12
Represented cycles
61998–2022
Current archive
2canonical records
History span
Oct 23, 1998through Nov 27, 2022
Identity

Known names and relationships

Known aliases
No additional reviewed aliases
Organization type
Single canonical organization
Cycles represented
1998 · 2000 · 2004 · 2018 · 2020 · 2022

30 eligible historical polls across 6 represented cycles passed the published history identity checks. Historical bias is descriptive and is kept separate from sponsor or client affiliation.

Canonical 2025–2026 archive

Current-cycle records

Archive source date 2026-10-24. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.

2 shown · 2 total

Generic ballot

Generic ballot

Dem +7

Dem 44% · Rep 37%

Field dates
Sep 18–Sep 25, 2026
Sample
1,273 RV
Sponsor / client
Not reported in archive
Partisan sponsorship
No partisan sponsorship flag
See this pollster in the Full Poll Archive →
Certified-result history

Eligible historical observations

30 shown · 30 total

CycleRaceTypeField endSamplePollResultError
2022GA · SenateSen-G2022-11-271,184D+4.0D+2.8D+1.2
2022national · HouseHouse-G2022-10-29992R+4.0R+2.7R+1.3
2020NC · SenateSen-G2020-10-27901D+3.0R+1.8D+4.8
2020MI · SenateSen-G2020-10-27907D+12.0D+1.7D+10.3
2020AZ · SenateSen-G2020-10-27865D+7.0D+2.4D+4.7
2020WI · PresidentPres-G2020-10-27873D+8.0D+0.6D+7.4
2020NC · PresidentPres-G2020-10-27901D+6.0R+1.4D+7.3
2020MI · PresidentPres-G2020-10-27907D+12.0D+2.8D+9.2
2020AZ · PresidentPres-G2020-10-27865D+4.0D+0.3D+3.7
2020NC · GovernorGov-G2020-10-27901D+10.0D+4.5D+5.5
2020national · PresidentPres-G2020-10-25886D+12.0D+4.5D+7.5
2020national · HouseHouse-G2020-10-25886D+12.0D+3.0D+9.0
2020PA · PresidentPres-G2020-10-18843D+10.0D+1.2D+8.8
2020FL · PresidentPres-G2020-10-18847D+4.0R+3.4D+7.4
2018national · HouseHouse-G2018-11-021,151D+13.0D+8.8D+4.3
2018TN · SenateSen-G2018-10-27764R+4.0R+10.8D+6.8
2018NV · SenateSen-G2018-10-27622D+3.0D+5.1R+2.1
2018FL · SenateSen-G2018-10-27781D+2.0R+0.1D+2.1
2018AZ · SenateSen-G2018-10-27702D+4.0D+2.3D+1.7
2018TN · GovernorGov-G2018-10-27764R+10.0R+21.0D+11.0
2018NV · GovernorGov-G2018-10-27622D+1.0D+4.2R+3.2
2018FL · GovernorGov-G2018-10-27781D+1.0R+0.4D+1.4
2018AZ · GovernorGov-G2018-10-27702R+7.0R+14.2D+7.2
2018FL · SenateSen-G2018-10-18759D+5.0R+0.1D+5.1
2018FL · GovernorGov-G2018-10-18759D+12.0R+0.4D+12.4
2004national · PresidentPres-G2004-10-24741R+1.0R+2.5D+1.5
2000national · PresidentPres-G2000-11-031,103R+2.0D+0.5R+2.5
2000national · PresidentPres-G2000-10-271,103R+3.0D+0.5R+3.5
2000national · PresidentPres-G2000-10-20653R+2.0D+0.5R+2.5
1998national · HouseHouse-G1998-10-23600D+5.0R+0.9D+5.9

Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5

Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.

A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.

Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.