Southern Media & Opinion Research
Historical accuracy is measured against certified results. Current-cycle records come from the canonical, deduplicated archive and do not by themselves change the sealed forecast.
- Historical polls
- 7
- Mean absolute error
- 6.94percentage points
- Historical bias
- D+0.18
- Represented cycles
- 41999–2016
- Current archive
- 0canonical records
- History span
- Oct 6, 1999through Nov 29, 2016
Known names and relationships
- Known aliases
- No additional reviewed aliases
- Organization type
- Single canonical organization
- Cycles represented
- 1999 · 2002 · 2004 · 2016
7 eligible historical polls is a limited denominator; both MAE and bias may move materially as another cycle is added.
Current-cycle records
Archive source date 2026-09-09 · bundled copy. Archive records may be newer than the sealed forecast; inclusion here does not mean the forecast uses them.
0 shown · 0 total
No record in the currently authorized canonical archive is attached to this identity.
This is not evidence that the pollster released no 2026 polling; the source-audit gaps remain documented.
Eligible historical observations
7 shown · 7 total
| Cycle | Race | Type | Field end | Sample | Poll | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 2016_Sen-GR_LA | Sen-G | 2016-11-29 | 500 | R+14.0 | R+21.3 | D+7.3 |
| 2016 | 2016_Sen-O_LA | Sen-G | 2016-10-20 | 500 | R+6.0 | R+7.5 | D+1.5 |
| 2016 | 2016_Pres-G_LA | Pres-G | 2016-10-20 | 500 | R+15.0 | R+19.6 | D+4.6 |
| 2004 | 2004_Sen-O_LA | Sen-G | 2004-10-13 | 600 | R+25.4 | R+21.7 | R+3.7 |
| 2004 | 2004_Pres-G_LA | Pres-G | 2004-10-13 | 600 | R+18.0 | R+14.5 | R+3.5 |
| 2002 | 2002_Sen-GR_LA | Sen-G | 2002-11-20 | 600 | D+16.0 | D+3.4 | D+12.6 |
| 1999 | 1999_Gov-O_LA | Gov-G | 1999-10-06 | 500 | R+48.0 | R+32.6 | R+15.4 |
Method · historical final-three-week D/R general-election rows plus verified historical supplement; min n=5
Definition · bias_D is poll D-R margin minus actual D-R margin; positive overstates Democrats.
A missing sample, sponsor or source is labeled unavailable; it is never reconstructed.
Poll data via VoteHub, used under CC BY 4.0. Poll data from The New York Times, used under CC BY 4.0.